TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$101,900,907

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,178,729,067

335,697

Markets across

33,528

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,579

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Science and Technology
When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
kalshi

When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?

Jul 23, 2026, 10:50 AM EST - Jun 1, 2027, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$112,995
Volume 24h:
$42,477
495%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$97,303
67%

Before Jan 2027

 - Kalshi

Before Jan 2027 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jun 1, 2027

Will Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 Pro before Jan 1, 2027?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 1% 277 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before Jan 2027

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$3
0%
0%
$3
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before Jun 2027

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$3
0%
0%
$3
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before Sep 28, 2026

Trade
96%
11%
Yes 96¢No 5¢
1¢
N/A
$25,134
53%
151%
$20,168
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before Apr 2027

Trade
96%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$24
0%
85%
$14
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before Oct 2026

Trade
94%
12%
Yes 95¢No 6¢
1¢
N/A
$80,054
71%
211%
$70,970
9mo 1w
active
kalshi

Before Sep 21, 2026

Trade
88%
Yes 89¢No 12¢
1¢
N/A
$7,777
9%
65%
$6,145
9mo 1w
active
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the anticipated public release date of Apple Inc.'s iPhone 18 Pro model. It reflects investor and consumer expectations about when the new device might become available. The outcome depends on whether Apple announces and makes the product available within specific timeframes.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple potential release windows for the iPhone 18 Pro, with the market resolving to Yes if Apple makes the device publicly available before any of the specified deadlines. Four sequential time-based conditions are evaluated: before October 1, 2026, before January 1, 2027, before April 1, 2027, and before June 1, 2027. The earliest occurrence triggering a Yes outcome determines the resolution, while the market settles at No only if the product remains unreleased through all specified dates. This layered structure creates escalating probability thresholds that reflect evolving expectations about Apple's product timeline.