TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$149,897,520

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,214,596,905

340,805

Markets across

34,373

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,679

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
Watchlist
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
What will Trump post this week? (August 17 - August 23)
kalshi
polymarket

What will Trump post this week? (August 17 - August 23)

Total volume:
$308,557
Volume 24h:
$60,686
23%
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$161,700
21%

220-240

 - Kalshi

220-240 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 23, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 9:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

220-240

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$67,756
N/A
N/A
$30,026
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

Crime

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,061
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

Israel

View
100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$850
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

Communist / Communism

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$846
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

Allah

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$828
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

Russia

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$672
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

Scam

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$432
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

Nuclear

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
12¢
N/A
$258
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

China

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$236
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

Investigation

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$169
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

NATO

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
kalshi

>240

View
0%
82%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$72,050
N/A
N/A
$35,737
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

200-219

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41,848
N/A
N/A
$24,657
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

160-179

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,582
N/A
N/A
$17,854
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

180-199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,511
N/A
N/A
$15,470
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

140-159

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,101
N/A
N/A
$10,338
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

100-119

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,845
N/A
N/A
$12,387
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

120-139

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,620
N/A
N/A
$6,442
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

<80

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,031
N/A
N/A
$4,507
0d 0h 0m
No
kalshi

80-99

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,972
N/A
N/A
$4,281
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,647
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Uranium

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$545
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Putin

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$425
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

Brazil

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$267
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 24

Description

This event group tracks Donald Trump's social media activity on Truth Social for the week of August 17-23, 2026. Markets cover both the total volume of posts and specific keyword appearances during this period.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets consistently use @realDonaldTrump's Truth Social account as the sole source, with clear timing windows and keyword matching rulesPrimary resolution logic: Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account (@realDonaldTrump)

Core resolution logic:

  • Total post count market resolves based on number of posts from Aug 17-23, 2026
  • Keyword markets resolve to Yes only if exact term appears in text posts (not images/gifs) with correct spelling and formatting
  • All markets exclude quote posts, reposts, and non-text media unless text is clearly spelled out

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Hashtags and Symbols: Terms with hashtags (@) or other symbols still count as long as spelling is correct
  • Plural/Possessive Forms: Plural or possessive forms of keywords count (e.g., 'Russias' or 'China's')
  • Image Text: Only counts if text is spelled out clearly in non-animated images
Timing: Resolution occurs after August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ETOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @realDonaldTrump posts/truths the listed term between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trump's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the total number of Truth Social posts made by Donald Trump from August 16, 2026, to August 22, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific range of posts, with the observation period running from 12:00 AM ET on August 16 to 11:59 PM ET on August 22. Data is sourced primarily from Roll Call, with alternatives allowed if Roll Call is unavailable. All post types—including Truths, ReTruths, Quote Truths, and Replies (if captured)—are counted, provided they remain posted as of the expiration time. Counts are recorded at 10:00 AM ET on August 23, and ranges are inclusive of both bounds.