TOTAL VOLUME:
$66b
24H VOL:
$398,877,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
647,445,881
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,477,629,845
622,934
Markets across
14,083
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,257
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
49%
VS.
Kalshi:
51%
What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit in June 2026? Odds & Prediction Markets
Time left: 14d:00h:23m
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in June?
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Description
What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit in June 2026?
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Primary resolution logic:
Pyth (https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.PLTR%2FUSD) for 1-minute candle High and Low prices; fallback to official primary exchange daily high/low if Pyth data is unavailable due to outage or technical failure.Core resolution logic:
- HIGH markets resolve YES if any 1-minute candle during June 2026 regular trading hours has a final High price equal to or above the target price; otherwise NO.
- LOW markets resolve YES if any 1-minute candle during June 2026 regular trading hours has a final Low price equal to or below the target price; otherwise NO.
- Only prices from 9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET on NYSE trading days count; pre-market and after-hours prices are excluded.
- Prices are used exactly as published by Pyth without rounding.
- In the event of a stock split or reverse stock split, the target price is adjusted proportionally and resolution is based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Pyth Data Unavailability: If Pyth 1-minute candle data is unavailable due to system outage, data failure, or technical disruption, resolution falls back to the official daily high or low price published by the primary exchange (NYSE) for the applicable trading session.
- Stock Split or Corporate Action: Target prices are adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits, reverse stock splits, or similar corporate actions. Resolution uses the historical price data as shown on Pyth after adjustments have been applied.
- Exact Price Match: For HIGH markets, the target price must be reached or exceeded (>=). For LOW markets, the target price must be reached or undercut (<=). Exact matches resolve YES.
- Timing of Touch: A single 1-minute candle touching the target price at any point during June 2026 regular trading hours is sufficient for YES resolution; the price does not need to close at that level.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the close of the last trading day of June 2026 (June 30, 2026), when all June 2026 1-minute candle data is finalized on Pyth or the official exchange.Polymarket
What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit in June 2026?
Predict
What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit in June 2026?
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds distill real-money trader expectations into probabilities, often differing from traditional Wall Street analyst price targets. Markets like Polymarket and Predict incorporate forward-looking sentiment, earnings catalysts, and macro conditions faster than consensus estimates. While analysts may project PLTR's intrinsic value, prediction markets reflect what traders believe will actually trade by June 2026. Comparing the two reveals gaps between fundamental research and market-priced outcomes, highlighting where consensus may be underestimating or overestimating Palantir's upside potential.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Polymarket and Predict may track slightly different price thresholds or contract specifications for PLTR in June 2026, creating natural basis spreads. Liquidity, user demographics, and fee structures vary between platforms, influencing how traders price identical outcomes. Polymarket's higher volume of $56,004 USD reflects deeper order books and tighter bid-ask spreads, while Predict may attract different trader segments with alternative risk appetites. Arbitrage opportunities and platform-specific settlement interpretations can also widen or narrow the spread between venues.
Key catalysts for PLTR include quarterly earnings announcements, government contract wins or losses, AI product launches, and macroeconomic shifts affecting defense and commercial spending. Management guidance on revenue growth and profitability timelines will influence trader positioning. Broader tech sector volatility, interest rate changes, and geopolitical developments impacting Palantir's customer base could accelerate or dampen momentum toward price targets. Insider transactions and analyst upgrades or downgrades may also trigger repricing across Polymarket and Predict prediction markets.
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