TOTAL VOLUME:
$66b
24H VOL:
$398,877,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
647,445,881
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,477,629,845
622,934
Markets across
14,083
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,257
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
49%
VS.
Kalshi:
51%
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in June 2026? Odds & Prediction Markets
Time left: 14d:00h:27m
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in June?
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Description
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in June 2026?
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Primary resolution logic:
Pyth (1-minute candle HIGH/LOW prices for NVDA/USD at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD); fallback to NYSE official daily high/low prices if Pyth data unavailableCore resolution logic:
- HIGH markets (↑ $264, $256, $248, $240, $232, $216): resolve YES if any 1-minute candle during June 2026 regular trading hours shows a final High price equal to or above the target price
- LOW markets (↓ $208, $200, $192, $184, $176, $160): resolve YES if any 1-minute candle during June 2026 regular trading hours shows a final Low price equal to or below the target price
- Only prices from regular trading hours (9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) qualify; pre-market and after-hours prices are excluded
- Prices used exactly as published by Pyth without rounding
- In event of stock split or reverse split, target prices are adjusted proportionally and resolution uses split-adjusted historical data from Pyth
- If Pyth 1-minute candle data is unavailable due to system outage or technical failure, resolution uses official daily high/low prices published by the primary exchange (NYSE)
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Stock Split or Reverse Split: Target prices are adjusted proportionally to reflect the corporate action. Resolution is based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth after adjustments have been applied.
- Pyth Data Unavailability: If Pyth 1-minute candle data is unavailable due to system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, resolution falls back to the official daily high/low price published by NYSE for the applicable trading session.
- Price Precision: Prices are used exactly as published by Pyth without rounding. A market resolves YES only if the exact threshold is met or exceeded (for HIGH) or met or undercut (for LOW).
- June 2026 Scope: Resolution considers only trading activity during June 2026 regular trading hours. Any price movement outside this window or outside regular hours does not qualify.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the close of regular trading on the last trading day of June 2026 (approximately June 30, 2026), once Pyth 1-minute candle data for the entire month is finalized and verified.Polymarket
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in June 2026?
Predict
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit in June 2026?
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders and reflect aggregate expectations, while Wall Street analyst price targets are typically based on fundamental models, earnings forecasts, and valuation frameworks. Market odds tend to update faster in response to earnings surprises, macro shifts, or semiconductor industry news. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in more bullish or bearish scenarios than consensus analyst views on NVIDIA's valuation and competitive position by mid-2026.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Different user bases, liquidity pools, and fee structures across Polymarket and Predict can create pricing gaps. Polymarket may attract retail traders focused on lower price targets, while Predict may draw institutional participants betting on higher outcomes. Timing of large trades, regional access differences, and platform-specific incentives also influence where each market settles. These spreads typically narrow as the June 2026 resolution date approaches and information converges.
Key catalysts include NVIDIA's quarterly earnings reports, data center demand trends, AI chip competition from AMD and Intel, geopolitical export restrictions, and broader semiconductor cycle dynamics. Major cloud provider guidance on GPU spending, announcements of new chip architectures, and macroeconomic shifts affecting tech valuations can all shift market odds. Additionally, changes in interest rates and investor sentiment toward high-growth tech stocks will influence whether traders expect NVDA to reach lower or higher price targets by June 2026.
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