TOTAL VOLUME:
$66b
24H VOL:
$398,877,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
647,445,881
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,477,629,845
622,934
Markets across
14,083
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,257
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
49%
VS.
Kalshi:
51%
What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in June 2026? Odds & Prediction Markets
Time left: 14d:00h:22m
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $75 in June?
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Description
This event group tracks whether Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) stock will reach specific price levels (highs ranging from $90–$120 and lows ranging from $55–$85) at any point during regular trading hours in June 2026. Resolution depends on 1-minute candle data from Pyth, with a fallback to official exchange daily highs/lows if Pyth data becomes unavailable.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Primary resolution logic:
Pyth (Equity.US.NFLX/USD) 1-minute candles; fallback to primary exchange (NASDAQ) official daily high/low prices if Pyth data is unavailable due to system outage or technical failure.Core resolution logic:
- HIGH markets resolve YES if any 1-minute candle's High price is >= target price during June 2026 regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET)
- LOW markets resolve YES if any 1-minute candle's Low price is <= target price during June 2026 regular trading hours (9:30 AM–4:00 PM ET)
- Pre-market and after-hours prices are excluded from consideration
- Prices are used exactly as published by Pyth without rounding
- Stock splits or reverse splits trigger proportional adjustment of target prices; resolution uses split-adjusted historical data from Pyth
- If Pyth data is unavailable, resolution uses official daily high/low from the primary exchange for the applicable trading session
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Stock Split or Reverse Split: Target price is adjusted proportionally to reflect the corporate action. Resolution is based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth after adjustments are applied.
- Pyth Data Unavailability: If Pyth 1-minute candle data is unavailable due to system outage, data failure, or technical disruption, resolution falls back to the official daily high or low price published by the primary exchange (NASDAQ) for the applicable trading session.
- Exact Price Match: HIGH markets require the High price to be equal to or above the target; LOW markets require the Low price to be equal to or below the target. Exact matches satisfy the condition.
- Multiple Candles in June 2026: Resolution is YES if ANY 1-minute candle during the entire month of June 2026 (regular trading hours only) touches or exceeds the target. A single qualifying candle is sufficient.
- June 2026 Boundary: Only trading activity during June 2026 (June 1–30, 2026) counts. Pre-market on June 1 and after-hours on June 30 are excluded.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the close of regular trading on June 28, 2026 (the last trading day of June 2026), once all 1-minute candle data for the month is finalized and available on Pyth or the exchange.Polymarket
What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in June 2026?
Predict
What will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit in June 2026?
Frequently asked questions
Prediction markets like Polymarket and Predict reflect real-money bets from traders worldwide, often diverging from traditional Wall Street analyst price targets. While sell-side analysts may anchor to historical models and consensus estimates, prediction markets price in forward-looking sentiment, earnings surprises, and competitive threats in real time. The odds shown here represent decentralized crowd wisdom rather than institutional research, making them a complementary signal for evaluating Netflix's likely stock performance through mid-2026.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can create price gaps for the same outcome. Polymarket currently shows 100.0% odds on its top outcome, while Predict reflects different positioning. Variations in user base size, trading interface design, and market depth mean that identical Netflix price-target questions can trade at different implied probabilities across venues, presenting arbitrage opportunities for sophisticated traders.
Netflix's stock price through June 2026 will respond to quarterly earnings beats or misses, subscriber growth trends, content spending decisions, and competitive pressure from Disney, Amazon, and others. Macroeconomic shifts affecting consumer spending and advertising demand will also matter. Regulatory actions, password-sharing policy changes, and major content releases or cancellations could trigger volatility. Broader tech sector rotation and interest-rate movements will influence valuation multiples, making these catalysts critical to whether NFLX reaches the price targets tracked here.
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