TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.6b

24H VOL:

$124,291,538

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,192,009,184

337,556

Markets across

34,185

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,362

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA
Dashboards
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Science and Technology
Top Chinese AI Company this month
kalshi

Top Chinese AI Company this month

Aug 3, 2026, 11:30 AM EST - Aug 31, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$47,828
Volume 24h:
$8,967
101%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$32,510
21%

Alibaba

 - Kalshi

Alibaba - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 03d:14h:52m

Top Chinese AI Company this month?

95%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 96¢ buys you 104 shares | Odds: 95% Total Payout: $104 | Net Profit: $4 Multiplier: 1.04x | ROI: 4% High Projected APY: 4,023% 3 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Alibaba

Trade
95%
Yes 96¢No
N/A
$17,373
29%
148%
$11,629
3d 14h 52m
active
kalshi

DeepSeek

5%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$5,077
0%
0.04%
$2,960
3d 14h 52m
active
kalshi

Z.ai

2%
6%
Yes No 98¢
N/A
$10,903
65%
95%
$9,204
3d 14h 52m
active
kalshi

Tencent

2%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$2,716
37%
37%
$1,386
3d 14h 52m
active
kalshi

Baidu

2%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$2,446
0%
0%
$1,364
3d 14h 52m
active
kalshi

ByteDance

2%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$2,076
0%
0%
$1,364
3d 14h 52m
active
kalshi

MiniMax

2%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$1,982
0%
0%
$1,364
3d 14h 52m
active
kalshi

Xiaomi

2%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$1,981
0%
0%
$1,364
3d 14h 52m
active
kalshi

Moonshot

1%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$3,273
0%
4%
$1,876
3d 14h 52m
active
Total markets: 9

Description

This event determines which major Chinese AI company will lead in text generation performance on a specific evaluation platform by a set date. The outcome depends on independent benchmarking scores that compare various models from different firms.

Kalshi

The event evaluates which qualifying Chinese AI company has the highest-ranked model on the Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) as of August 31, 2026, at 10:00am ET. Qualifying companies must have their global or primary operational headquarters in mainland China. If a company achieves the highest rank, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; all others resolve to No. In cases of tied rankings, the publisher’s official tie-breaking methodology applies. If no such methodology exists, all tied entities share the highest rank, and each tied contract resolves to $1 divided by the number of tied candidates, rounded down. The platform and scoring methodology are central to determining the outcome, with no affiliation implied between the event operator and any participating entities or trademarks.