TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$91,248,924

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,520,955

334,440

Markets across

33,346

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,559

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA

Science and Technology

Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31?

kalshi

polymarket

Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31?

Total volume:

$450,042

Volume 24h:

$72,717

159%

Liquidity:

$17,744

91%

Open interest:

$140,289

23%

Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31?

- Polymarket

Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 31, 2026

Time left: 04d:11h:08m

Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31?

Amount

$

Trade on

polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 0.1¢ buys you 100,000 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $100,000 | Net Profit: $99,900 Multiplier: 1000.00x | ROI: 99,900% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.

Markets

Outcome

Trade

Chance %

Price

Spread

Liquidity

Volume

24h

7d

Open Interest

Ends in

Result

polymarket

Todd Blanche nomination withdrawn by August 31?

0%

Yes 0.1¢

No 100¢

—

$17,744

$93,555

0%

0%

N/A

4d 11h 8m

active

kalshi

Before Sep 1, 2026

100%

49%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

100¢

N/A

$212,446

N/A

N/A

$64,470

4mo 1w

Yes

kalshi

Before Oct 1, 2026

100%

13%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

100¢

N/A

$47,371

N/A

N/A

$21,873

4mo 1w

Yes

kalshi

Before Jan 1, 2027

100%

8%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

100¢

N/A

$27,633

N/A

N/A

$11,539

4mo 1w

Yes

kalshi

Before Nov 1, 2026

100%

13%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

100¢

N/A

$19,907

N/A

N/A

$9,646

4mo 1w

Yes

kalshi

Before Aug 1, 2026

0%

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

100¢

N/A

$36,978

N/A

N/A

$25,830

4mo 1w

No

kalshi

Before Jul 1, 2026

0%

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

100¢

N/A

$5,820

N/A

N/A

$2,471

4mo 1w

No

kalshi

Before Jun 15, 2026

0%

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

100¢

N/A

$2,674

N/A

N/A

$1,835

4mo 1w

No

kalshi

Before Jun 1, 2026

0%

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

100¢

N/A

$1,881

N/A

N/A

$1,290

4mo 1w

No

kalshi

Before May 15, 2026

N/A

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

100¢

N/A

$1,387

N/A

N/A

$984

0d 0h 0m

No

kalshi

Before May 1, 2026

N/A

Yes 0¢

No 100¢

100¢

N/A

$390

N/A

N/A

$350

0d 0h 0m

No

Total markets: 11

Description

This event group concerns whether Todd Blanche's nomination to be Attorney General of the United States will be withdrawn by August 31, 2026. The resolution hinges on an official announcement of withdrawal by Donald Trump, Todd Blanche, or their authorized representatives before the specified deadline.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market resolves based on confirmation timing of Trump's first Attorney General pick, while the Polymarket market resolves based on Blanche's nomination withdrawal status. These are fundamentally different events with no logical overlap.Hero tip: Do not treat these as correlated markets. The Kalshi contract resolves based on confirmation timing, while Polymarket resolves based on withdrawal announcements. Cross-platform hedging will not work due to divergent resolution criteria.

Critical divergence points:

Kalshi: Resolves if Trump's first announced Attorney General pick is confirmed before any of several dates from May 1, 2026 through January 1, 2027. This is entirely dependent on confirmation timing, not withdrawal status.
Polymarket: Resolves to Yes if Todd Blanche's nomination is officially withdrawn by August 31, 2026, as announced by Trump, Blanche, or their representatives. All other outcomes resolve to No.

Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Todd Blanche's nomination to be Attorney General of the United States is announced as withdrawn, or is formally withdrawn, by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The withdrawal will be considered announced when Donald Trump, Todd Blanche, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Todd Blanche's nomination will be or is being withdrawn. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the withdrawal is formally communicated to the United States Senate, and regardless of whether the withdrawal is described as temporary. The following will not qualify: statements that a withdrawal is being considered or is possible; conditional statements that the nomination will be withdrawn only if specified conditions are met; media reports that a withdrawal is planned; the Senate postponing, declining to advance, or voting down the nomination; the return of the nomination to the President upon adjournment of the Senate; and statements by persons other than those listed above. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Todd Blanche; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Across all timeframes, each market resolves to Yes if Trump's first announced Attorney General pick becomes the first person confirmed as Attorney General before the specified deadline. If the nomination is withdrawn at any point before a market's deadline, that market immediately resolves to No. The deadlines progress from May 1, 2026 through August 1, 2026, creating a series of sequential confirmation windows. Resolution is based solely on whether the initial nominee achieves confirmation status before their respective deadline—not on the timing of the Senate vote itself, but on the actual confirmation becoming official. Any withdrawal of the nomination, regardless of whether a replacement is subsequently nominated and confirmed, triggers an immediate No resolution for all markets with deadlines after the withdrawal date.