TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$101,900,907

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,178,729,067

335,697

Markets across

33,528

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,579

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on August 24?
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
opinion

Tesla (TSLA) closes above ___ on August 24?

Total volume:
$7,516
Volume 24h:
$6,966N/A
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$3,564N/A

↑ 412.5

 - Opinion

↑ 412.5 - Opinion

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Aug 28, 2026

Time left: 01d:04h:10m

↑ 412.5

Amount

$

Trade on
opinion

Trade on Opinion

At buys you 0 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $0 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: Infinityx | ROI: 0% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

↑ 412.5

Trade
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 4h 10m
active
opinion

↑ 405

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 4h 10m
active
opinion

↑ 397.5

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 4h 10m
active
opinion

↑ 390

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 4h 10m
active
opinion

↑ 382.5

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 4h 10m
active
opinion

↑ 375

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 4h 10m
active
opinion

↑ 367.5

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 4h 10m
active
opinion

↓ 337.5

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 4h 10m
active
opinion

↓ 330

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 4h 10m
active
polymarket

$330

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No
0.1¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
100%
Yes 100¢No
Avg: 0.1¢Max: 0.1¢
opinion

↓ 322.5

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 4h 10m
active
opinion

↓ 315

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 4h 10m
active
polymarket

$340

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No
0.1¢
N/A
$325
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

$350

0%
93%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$6,688
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

$360

0%
94%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$453
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
opinion

↓ 360

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 4h 10m
No
polymarket

$370

0%
79%
Yes No 100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
opinion

↓ 352.5

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 4h 10m
No
opinion

↓ 345

N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 4h 10m
No
Total markets: 19

Description

This group of markets centers around whether Tesla's (TSLA) stock closing price on August 24, 2026, will exceed various specified thresholds. Each market has a different price threshold, and resolution depends on the actual closing price relative to that threshold.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets use the same core logic: compare Tesla's August 24 closing price to the threshold, with Pyth as the primary source and exchange-published prices as a fallback.Primary resolution logic: Pyth closing prices for Tesla (TSLA) on August 24, 2026, with fallback to the primary exchange's official closing price

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by whether Tesla's closing price on August 24, 2026 exceeds the specified threshold
  • Pyth provides the primary closing price source; if unavailable, the primary exchange's official closing price is used
  • If the closing price exactly matches the threshold, the market resolves to "No"
  • If August 24 is not a trading day, markets resolve 50-50

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Non-trading day: If August 24 is not a trading day, all markets resolve 50-50
  • Exact match: If Tesla's closing price equals the threshold price, the market resolves to "No"
  • Pyth data failure: If Pyth has no valid closing price, the market uses the official closing price from the primary exchange
Timing: Resolution occurs after the close of trading on August 24, 2026Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) on August 24, 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.

Opinion

An "↑" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "High" for Tesla (TSLA) is at or above the price specified in the market at any point inside the window; an "↓" market resolves to "Yes" if the official daily "Low" is at or below the specified price. Boundary touches count. Markets whose level is never reached before the deadline resolve "No". In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting Tesla (TSLA), these markets resolve on split-adjusted prices, and the price specified in each market is adjusted proportionally. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) daily price data available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/. If that data is unavailable due to an outage or other technical disruption, the official price published by the primary exchange on which Tesla (TSLA) trades governs.