TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
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Entertainment
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations
polymarket
kalshi

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Nominations

Total volume:
$201,525
Volume 24h:
$11,844
272%
Liquidity:
$51,109
29%
Open interest:
$70,043
2%

Paul Giamatti

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2027

Will Paul Giamatti be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

92%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 92¢ buys you 109 shares | Odds: 92% Total Payout: $109 | Net Profit: $9 Multiplier: 1.09x | ROI: 9% | APY: 24% Low liquidity 138 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Paul Giamatti

Trade
92%
Yes 92¢No 9¢
1¢
$915
$697
0%
4%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

Paul Giamatti

85%
Yes 89¢No 12¢
1¢
N/A
$6,252
0%
11%
$3,809
1y 2mo
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
85.7%
Yes 90.5¢No 10.5¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Sam Rockwell

78%
4%
Yes 79¢No 22¢
1¢
N/A
$5,526
3%
8%
$3,138
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

Sam Rockwell

77%
5%
Yes 78¢No 24¢
2¢
$1,567
$1,945
24%
127%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
77.7%
Yes 78.5¢No 23¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

Andrew Garfield

78%
1%
Yes 79¢No 24¢
3¢
$3,438
$2,164
0%
1,173%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

Andrew Garfield

75%
Yes 80¢No 23¢
3¢
N/A
$1,963
0%
2%
$695
1y 2mo
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
76.3%
Yes 79.5¢No 23.5¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

John Leguizamo

60%
5%
Yes 58¢No 43¢
1¢
N/A
$12,091
0.23%
7%
$7,477
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

John Leguizamo

56%
12%
Yes 57¢No 45¢
2¢
$5,125
$3,892
0.78%
27%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
59%
Yes 57.5¢No 44¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Guitarricadelafuente

61%
Yes 60¢No 43¢
3¢
N/A
$4,314
11%
14%
$2,389
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

Guitarricadelafuente

56%
16%
Yes 58¢No 46¢
4¢
$1,224
$5,953
133%
179%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
58.1%
Yes 59¢No 44.5¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Edward Norton

52%
9%
Yes 54¢No 51¢
5¢
N/A
$6,109
4%
18%
$3,019
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

Edward Norton

50%
8%
Yes 55¢No 56¢
11¢
$1,326
$3,436
82%
1,556%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
51.1%
Yes 54.5¢No 53.5¢
Avg: 8¢Max: 11¢
polymarket

Robert Pattinson

29%
2%
Yes 30¢No 72¢
2¢
$7,057
$2,136
47%
110%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

Robert Pattinson

24%
Yes 27¢No 74¢
1¢
N/A
$34,192
0.38%
2%
$17,425
1y 2mo
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
24.3%
Yes 28.5¢No 73¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Colman Domingo

23%
Yes 22¢No 80¢
2¢
N/A
$9,357
8%
8%
$5,131
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

Colman Domingo

19%
4%
Yes 20¢No 83¢
3¢
$1,426
$1,644
4,059%
7,133%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
22.3%
Yes 21¢No 81.5¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

Riz Ahmed

18%
Yes 19¢No 83¢
2¢
$2,534
$2,371
0%
80%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

Riz Ahmed

15%
Yes 19¢No 84¢
3¢
N/A
$10,700
0%
3%
$3,948
1y 2mo
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
15.5%
Yes 19¢No 83.5¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

Steve Buscemi

16%
Yes 17¢No 86¢
3¢
$2,335
$2,646
6%
2,470%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

Steve Buscemi

15%
Yes 15¢No 88¢
3¢
N/A
$6,774
0%
3%
$2,325
1y 2mo
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
15.1%
Yes 16¢No 87¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

Channing Tatum

15%
Yes 8¢No 99¢
7¢
N/A
$1,846
0%
0%
$1,096
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

Channing Tatum

4%
1%
Yes 6.3¢No 97.8¢
4.1¢
$1,677
$173
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
14.1%
Yes 7.2¢No 98.4¢
Avg: 5.6¢Max: 7¢
polymarket

John Goodman

13%
Yes 14.7¢No 88¢
2.7¢
$3,255
$10,606
0%
62,342%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

John Goodman

13%
1%
Yes 13¢No 90¢
3¢
N/A
$12,481
0.09%
8%
$4,605
1y 2mo
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
13.2%
Yes 13.9¢No 89¢
Avg: 2.8¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

Antonio Banderas

10%
Yes 10¢No 92¢
2¢
N/A
$3,265
0.35%
0.68%
$2,517
1y 2mo
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
10%
Yes 10¢No 92¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
Total markets: 25 of 53

Description

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each actor in this event resolves to Yes if he receives a nomination for Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards. The Academy announces nominations in January 2027, and resolution is determined by official Academy nomination announcements for the Best Supporting Actor category. Each actor is evaluated independently; a Yes resolution for any actor is based solely on whether that individual actor appears on the official nomination list for this category.