TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Entertainment
Oscars 2027: Best Director Nominations
polymarket
kalshi

Oscars 2027: Best Director Nominations

Total volume:
$178,242
Volume 24h:
$4,552
56%
Liquidity:
$32,733
22%
Open interest:
$77,537
1%

Christopher Nolan

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Mar 14, 2027

2027 Best Director Oscar nominations?

97%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 98¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: 9% 86 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Christopher Nolan

Trade
97%
Yes 98¢No 5¢
3¢
N/A
$18,079
0.09%
52%
$9,678
2mo 3w 5d
active
polymarket

Christopher Nolan

96%
1%
Yes 98.6¢No 6.6¢
5.2¢
$3,617
$2,111
0.81%
27%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
96.9%
Yes 98.3¢No 5.8¢
Avg: 4.1¢Max: 5.2¢
kalshi

Javier Calvo

87%
2%
Yes 89¢No 13¢
2¢
N/A
$3,290
0.37%
6%
$2,270
2mo 3w 5d
active
polymarket

Javier Calvo

86%
1%
Yes 87¢No 15¢
2¢
$1,326
$646
0%
21%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
86.8%
Yes 88¢No 14¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

Javier Ambrossi

80%
Yes 81¢No 21¢
2¢
$955
$603
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

Martin McDonagh

72%
Yes 71¢No 32¢
3¢
N/A
$13,242
5%
39%
$6,430
2mo 3w 5d
active
polymarket

Martin McDonagh

70%
1%
Yes 72¢No 32¢
4¢
$1,524
$2,010
2%
119%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
71.7%
Yes 71.5¢No 32¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Nathan Fielder

66%
Yes 66¢No 36¢
2¢
N/A
$17,447
7%
43%
$12,330
2mo 3w 5d
active
polymarket

Nathan Fielder

65%
4%
Yes 68¢No 37.4¢
5.4¢
$1,101
$4,113
20%
62%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
65.9%
Yes 67¢No 36.7¢
Avg: 3.7¢Max: 5.4¢
kalshi

Denis Villeneuve

57%
2%
Yes 58¢No 43¢
1¢
N/A
$12,469
2%
12%
$5,061
2mo 3w 5d
active
polymarket

Denis Villeneuve

54%
2%
Yes 55¢No 48¢
3¢
$1,481
$1,660
9%
1,975%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
56.6%
Yes 56.5¢No 45.5¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

Olivia Wilde

54%
Yes 54¢No 47¢
1¢
N/A
$13,725
0.65%
7%
$7,439
2mo 3w 5d
active
polymarket

Olivia Wilde

50%
3%
Yes 50¢No 51¢
1¢
$1,538
$3,437
0.83%
67%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
53.1%
Yes 52¢No 49¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Ryusuke Hamaguchi

38%
Yes 36¢No 72¢
8¢
N/A
$2,632
0%
33%
$1,853
2mo 3w 5d
active
polymarket

Ryusuke Hamaguchi

28%
1%
Yes 29¢No 74¢
3¢
$553
$1,263
0%
N/A
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
34.6%
Yes 32.5¢No 73¢
Avg: 5.5¢Max: 8¢
polymarket

Jesse Eisenberg

25%
1%
Yes 26¢No 77¢
3¢
$1,939
$618
0%
18%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

Jesse Eisenberg

24%
1%
Yes 24¢No 77¢
1¢
N/A
$6,631
0.14%
0.29%
$2,242
2mo 3w 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
24%
Yes 25¢No 77¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

Cristian Mungiu

24%
5%
Yes 23¢No 78¢
1¢
N/A
$4,758
2%
7%
$2,521
2mo 3w 5d
active
polymarket

Cristian Mungiu

20%
2%
Yes 21¢No 82¢
3¢
$660
$3,292
4%
5,548%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
22.2%
Yes 22¢No 80¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

Peter Farrelly

19%
14%
Yes 21.9¢No 83.4¢
5.3¢
$377
$450
37%
917%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

Alejandro González Iñárritu

15%
1%
Yes 15¢No 86¢
1¢
N/A
$10,848
6%
16%
$5,396
2mo 3w 5d
active
polymarket

Alejandro González Iñárritu

12%
1%
Yes 13¢No 89¢
2¢
$425
$891
14%
81%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
14.8%
Yes 14¢No 87.5¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Phil Lord

16%
9%
Yes 16¢No 90¢
6¢
N/A
$3,797
4%
8%
$3,035
2mo 3w 5d
active
polymarket

Phil Lord

11%
2%
Yes 13.4¢No 91.7¢
5.1¢
$452
$1,783
2%
13%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
14.4%
Yes 14.7¢No 90.9¢
Avg: 5.5¢Max: 6¢
polymarket

Christopher Miller

14%
Yes 16¢No 89¢
5¢
$783
$1,932
7%
8%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
13.2%
Yes 16¢No 89¢
Avg: 5¢Max: 5¢
Total markets: 25 of 56

Description

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed director is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed director is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Director. If a director is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Director when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

A director receives a Yes resolution if they are nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards. The nomination announcement is expected in January 2027. Each director listed represents a separate market outcome, and any director who receives an official Best Director nomination will resolve to Yes.