TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
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Entertainment
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Nominations
polymarket
kalshi

Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Nominations

Total volume:
$78,984
Volume 24h:
$2,129
53%
Liquidity:
$28,239
54%
Open interest:
$25,545
0.58%

The Odyssey

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2027

2027 Best Adapted Screenplay Oscar nominations?

94%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 94¢ buys you 106 shares | Odds: 94% Total Payout: $106 | Net Profit: $6 Multiplier: 1.06x | ROI: 6% | APY: 5% 430 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

The Odyssey

Trade
94%
Yes 94¢No 9¢
3¢
N/A
$4,282
0.16%
7%
$2,656
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

The Odyssey

94%
3%
Yes 95¢No 7¢
2¢
$875
$798
0%
494%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
94%
Yes 94.5¢No 8¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

The Invite

87%
1%
Yes 89¢No 12¢
1¢
N/A
$7,892
0.25%
3%
$4,427
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

The Invite

87%
7%
Yes 89.7¢No 15.7¢
5.4¢
$1,507
$957
2%
4,688%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
87%
Yes 89.4¢No 13.9¢
Avg: 3.2¢Max: 5.4¢
polymarket

The Black Ball

89%
Yes 90¢No 12¢
2¢
$3,022
$985
0%
N/A
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

The Black Ball

83%
8%
Yes 89¢No 17¢
6¢
N/A
$2,851
2%
2%
$2,455
1y 2mo
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
84.5%
Yes 89.5¢No 14.5¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 6¢
kalshi

Project Hail Mary

72%
5%
Yes 70¢No 32¢
2¢
N/A
$7,532
1%
13%
$3,623
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

Project Hail Mary

69%
7%
Yes 69¢No 32¢
1¢
$6,487
$2,093
0%
204%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
71.2%
Yes 69.5¢No 32¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
polymarket

All of a Sudden

56%
4%
Yes 62¢No 49¢
11¢
$2,136
$1,250
0%
172%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

All of a Sudden

56%
Yes 60¢No 46¢
6¢
N/A
$2,904
0%
25%
$1,555
1y 2mo
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
56.2%
Yes 61¢No 47.5¢
Avg: 8.5¢Max: 11¢
polymarket

Dune: Part Three

40%
4%
Yes 43¢No 64¢
7¢
$767
$3,554
83%
N/A
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

Dune: Part Three

38%
Yes 38¢No 64¢
2¢
N/A
$6,097
5%
8%
$2,487
1y 2mo
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
38.6%
Yes 40.5¢No 64¢
Avg: 4.5¢Max: 7¢
polymarket

The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

27%
4%
Yes 29.2¢No 74.7¢
3.9¢
$1,684
$5,565
0.5%
152%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

25%
Yes 31¢No 75¢
6¢
N/A
$3,081
0%
43%
$1,493
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

Ink

18%
1%
Yes 21¢No 85¢
6¢
$297
$2,893
1%
543%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

Ink

18%
Yes 24¢No 84¢
8¢
N/A
$808
0%
33%
$328
1y 2mo
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
18%
Yes 22.5¢No 84.5¢
Avg: 7¢Max: 8¢
polymarket

Clarissa

18%
3%
Yes 19¢No 84¢
3¢
$4,518
$1,767
0%
20%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
kalshi

Clarissa

11%
Yes 17¢No 85¢
2¢
N/A
$1,304
0%
0%
$986
1y 2mo
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
14.7%
Yes 18¢No 84.5¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

Cry to Heaven

10%
Yes 18¢No 91¢
9¢
N/A
$460
0%
0%
$455
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

Cry to Heaven

4%
Yes 6.8¢No 98.6¢
5.4¢
$1,092
$1,081
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5.9%
Yes 12.4¢No 94.8¢
Avg: 7.2¢Max: 9¢
kalshi

Saturn Return

5%
Yes 5¢No 100¢
5¢
N/A
$1,950
0.05%
0.05%
$1,575
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

Saturn Return

3%
Yes 6.5¢No 99.6¢
6.1¢
$1,291
$46
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5%
Yes 5.8¢No 99.8¢
Avg: 5.6¢Max: 6.1¢
kalshi

The Social Reckoning

5%
4%
Yes 5¢No 98¢
3¢
N/A
$5,614
0.02%
0.97%
$1,823
1y 2mo
active
polymarket

The Social Reckoning

4%
Yes 6¢No 98.9¢
4.9¢
$895
$386
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.9%
Yes 5.5¢No 98.4¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 4.9¢
kalshi

Toy Story 5

7%
Yes 8¢No 97¢
5¢
N/A
$1,489
0%
0%
$547
1y 2mo
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.8%
Yes 8¢No 97¢
Avg: 5¢Max: 5¢
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Adapted Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

A film receives a Yes resolution if it has been nominated for Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards. The Academy will announce all nominations in January 2027, at which point each film's nomination status will be verified against official Academy records to determine individual market outcomes.