TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Oscar Winner: Best Actor
predict
kalshi

Oscar Winner: Best Actor

Total volume:
$1,378,426
Volume 24h:
$8,802
97%
Liquidity:
$715,863
0%
Open interest:
$1,053,826
0.68%

John Malkovich

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 31, 2027

Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the Oscars?

41%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 42¢ buys you 238 shares | Odds: 41% Total Payout: $238 | Net Profit: $138 Multiplier: 2.38x | ROI: 138% | APY: 109% 430 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

John Malkovich

Trade
41%
Yes 42¢No 59¢
1¢
N/A
$131,018
0.25%
2%
$99,136
1y 2mo
active
predict

John Malkovich

Trade
N/A
N/A
6¢
$38,087
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
41%
Yes 42¢No 59¢
Avg: 3.5¢Max: 6¢
kalshi

Andrew Scott

Trade
21%
Yes 22¢No 79¢
1¢
N/A
$109,913
0.38%
9%
$76,939
1y 2mo
active
predict

Andrew Scott

Trade
N/A
N/A
5.2¢
$29,857
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
21%
Yes 22¢No 79¢
Avg: 3.1¢Max: 5.2¢
kalshi

Matt Damon

Trade
16%
Yes 16¢No 85¢
1¢
N/A
$174,509
0.47%
4%
$107,049
1y 2mo
active
predict

Matt Damon

Trade
N/A
N/A
6.8¢
$30,154
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
16%
Yes 16¢No 85¢
Avg: 3.9¢Max: 6.8¢
kalshi

Tom Cruise

Trade
10%
1%
Yes 11¢No 91¢
2¢
N/A
$228,923
0.52%
3%
$125,670
1y 2mo
active
predict

Tom Cruise

Trade
N/A
N/A
5.8¢
$30,093
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
10%
Yes 11¢No 91¢
Avg: 3.9¢Max: 5.8¢
kalshi

Anthony Ippolito

Trade
9%
7%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$77,643
5%
12%
$71,182
1y 2mo
active
predict

Anthony Ippolito

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$32,703
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
9%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Timothée Chalamet

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$99,797
0.83%
10%
$86,133
1y 2mo
active
predict

Timothée Chalamet

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$31,568
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Robert Pattison

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$130,903
0.8%
9%
$88,653
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Ryan Gosling

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$61,173
0.08%
6%
$53,454
1y 2mo
active
predict

Ryan Gosling

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$29,845
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Jeremy Strong

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$70,407
0%
0%
$59,321
1y 2mo
active
predict

Jeremy Strong

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$31,787
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Jafar Jackson

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$65,592
1%
11%
$65,211
1y 2mo
active
predict

Jaafar Jackson

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$29,705
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Pedro Pascal

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$57,263
0%
0.82%
$54,531
1y 2mo
active
predict

Pedro Pascal

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$29,688
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$43,264
0%
0.22%
$43,261
1y 2mo
active
kalshi

Brad Pitt

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$42,594
0%
0.16%
$40,585
1y 2mo
active
predict

Brad Pitt

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
$33,502
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
8mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Tom Holland

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$25,588
0%
0%
$25,586
1y 2mo
active
Total markets: 25 of 47

Description

The 99th Academy Awards ceremony will take place, with one actor receiving the Best Actor award. This event tracks which actor wins that award from a specified group of nominees.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if any of the specified actors wins the Best Actor award at the 99th Academy Awards, expected to be held in March 2027. Each actor outcome is independent; if any one of them wins the award, their corresponding market resolves to Yes. A tie outcome also resolves to Yes if the Academy announces a tied result for Best Actor.

Predict

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.