TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$91,248,924

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,520,955

334,440

Markets across

33,346

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,559

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
polymarket

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Apr 27, 2026, 5:54 PM EST - May 31, 2026, 8:00 PM EST
Total volume:
$284,847,511
Volume 24h:
$254,428
15%
Liquidity:
$169,651
40%
Open interest:
$35,769N/A

Abiy Ahmed

 - Polymarket

Abiy Ahmed - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jun 1, 2026

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

97%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 97.9¢ buys you 102 shares | Odds: 97% Total Payout: $102 | Net Profit: $2 Multiplier: 1.02x | ROI: 2% | APY: N/A
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Abiy Ahmed

Trade
97%
Yes 97.9¢No 3.3¢
1.2¢
$17,836
$138,692
0.64%
3%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Gedion Timothewos

Trade
1%
Yes 1.5¢No 99.6¢
1.1¢
$16,893
$55,933,046
0%
0%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Adanech Abiebie

Trade
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.4¢
0.1¢
$19,833
$83,449,363
0%
0%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Berhanu Nega

Trade
1%
Yes 0.9¢No 99.6¢
0.5¢
$21,759
$29,635,160
0%
0.28%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Alesa Mengesha

Trade
0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.1¢
$20,179
$13,576,564
0%
0.01%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Belete Molla

Trade
0%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.9¢
0.5¢
$22,660
$32,287,006
0%
3%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Shimelis Abdisa

Trade
0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.9¢
0.4¢
$23,883
$41,421,871
0%
0%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
polymarket

Demeke Mekonnen

Trade
0%
Yes 0.4¢No 99.8¢
0.2¢
$26,609
$28,405,809
0.89%
4%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
active
Total markets: 8

Intro

This market tracks who will become Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the country's general elections. On Polymarket, Abiy Ahmed holds 97.2% probability of being the next Prime Minister, with Berhanu Nega at 0.8%. Resolution will be based on official information from the Government of Ethiopia or credible reporting consensus regarding who officially assumes the office after the June 1, 2026 general elections. Watch the election results on June 1, 2026, which will determine the composition of parliament and the subsequent appointment of the next Prime Minister.

Polymarket

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

Several catalysts could shift odds for the Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia before Jun 1, 2026. Major political announcements, changes in government stability, leadership challenges within ruling coalitions, international diplomatic pressure, or unexpected resignations could rapidly reprrice market expectations. Electoral or succession processes, parliamentary votes, or statements from key political figures would likely trigger significant trading volume. Economic crises, security developments, or shifts in regional geopolitics could also influence which candidate markets view as most likely to lead Ethiopia next, causing sharp probability swings.