TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.4b

24H VOL:

$84,940,147

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,163,022,755

334,261

Markets across

33,310

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,574

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

BETA

Science and Technology

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

kalshi

polymarket

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

Total volume:

$5,695,647

Volume 24h:

$0N/A

Liquidity:

$12,701

2%

Open interest:

$3,442,143

0%

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

- Polymarket

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 3, 2026

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

Amount

$

Trade on

polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 4.1¢ buys you 2,439 shares | Odds: 4% Total Payout: $2,439 | Net Profit: $2,339 Multiplier: 24.39x | ROI: 2,339% APY not meaningful 67 days to resolution

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.

Markets

Outcome

Trade

Chance %

Price

Spread

Liquidity

Volume

24h

7d

Open Interest

Ends in

Result

polymarket

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

4%

Yes 4.1¢

No 96.4¢

0.5¢

$12,701

$69,601

0%

0%

N/A

2mo 1w

active

kalshi

In 2026

100%

Yes 100¢

No 0¢

—

N/A

$5,626,047

N/A

N/A

$3,442,143

2mo 1w 1d

Yes

Total markets: 2

Description

The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms require the same core outcome: the HB 29 congressional map must be approved by Virginia voters via referendum and then actually used in the 2026 midterm elections on November 3, 2026, for YES resolution.Primary resolution logic: Official State of Virginia election materials and credible reporting consensus on whether HB 29 map is deployed for 2026 House elections.

Core resolution logic:

Market resolves YES if and only if the HB 29 congressional map is used to define Virginia's congressional districts in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House midterm elections.
Market resolves NO if the HB 29 map is not used, regardless of whether the referendum passes.
Passage of the referendum is necessary but not sufficient; actual deployment in the 2026 election is the binding condition.
Resolution is based on official State of Virginia election administration records or overwhelming credible reporting consensus.

Edge cases & clarifications:

Referendum Passes But Map Not Deployed: If voters approve the referendum but a court order, legislative action, or administrative decision prevents HB 29 from being used in 2026, the market resolves NO.
Partial or Modified Implementation: If HB 29 is modified after referendum passage and a different map is used, the market resolves NO because the specific HB 29 map was not deployed.
Referendum Fails: If the referendum does not pass before the 2026 election, the market resolves NO and HB 29 cannot be used.

Timing: Resolution occurs on or shortly after November 3, 2026, upon official confirmation from the State of Virginia that the HB 29 map was or was not used to define congressional districts for that election.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market. The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.