TOTAL VOLUME:
$150.1b
24H VOL:
$142,857,652
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,859,322,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,733,278,615
483,990
Markets across
35,811
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,349
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
March 31, 2027
- Polymarket
March 31, 2027 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Mar 31, 2027
New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31, 2027?
$
Intro
This market tracks whether Netflix will release a new episode of “Stranger Things” before a specified date. Currently, Polymarket gives a 6.0% probability to a new episode being released by March 31, 2027, and a 2.4% probability to a release by December 31, 2026. The market resolves based on the episode list and availability on the Stranger Things title page on Netflix, with credible reporting potentially used as a secondary source. Keep an eye on Netflix’s announcements regarding production timelines, as the resolution date estimate is April 1, 2027, which represents the end of the betting period if no new episode has been released.
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an “episode” must be listed as a distinct episode of Stranger Things on Netflix and be playable for general subscribers in the United States. A behind-the-scenes featurette, documentary, trailer, recap, cast interview, deleted scenes compilation, or other bonus content will not count unless it is clearly presented by Netflix as an official numbered or titled episode of the series. If Netflix releases an alternate cut, extended cut, or “secret” version of an already-released episode, it will not count unless it is listed as a separate episode entry on Netflix. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Stranger Things title page on Netflix (episode list and availability), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, the question of when a new “Stranger Things” episode will be released is subject to considerable speculation. While traditional analyst forecasts rely on production schedules and studio announcements, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incorporating a wider range of information, including rumors, casting news, and general industry trends. Discrepancies between the market’s implied probability and external forecasts can highlight areas where the crowd believes information is being undervalued or overestimated.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders, and changes dynamically based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence and more active trading.
This market resolves around Apr 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether a new episode of “Stranger Things” has been officially released by Netflix before the resolution date. The market will then reflect the confirmed outcome, and shares will pay out accordingly. Traders should monitor official announcements from Netflix for updates that could impact the resolution of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Official announcements from Netflix regarding the production or release of new “Stranger Things” content would be the most impactful. News about the cast’s availability, changes in the show’s creative team, or even broader shifts in Netflix’s content strategy could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected delays in production or positive buzz surrounding potential storylines could also cause the market to move, as traders adjust their predictions based on new information.
