TOTAL VOLUME:
$150.1b
24H VOL:
$142,857,652
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,859,322,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,733,278,615
483,990
Markets across
35,811
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
3,349
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Above 55
- Kalshi
Above 55 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Dec 21, 2026
Dune: Part Three Rotten Tomatoes score?
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Description
This event tracks the critical reception of Dune: Part Three based on its Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score measured on the Monday following its wide theatrical release. The market essentially asks whether the film will achieve a positive critical reception, with the resolution contingent on the aggregated critical score at a specific point in time.
Kalshi
The market measures the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score for "Dune: Part Three" on the Monday after wide release at 10:00 AM ET. Each outcome resolves Yes if the score exceeds its specified threshold (for example, a score of 75 would resolve "Above 75" as No). The score must be strictly above the strike value to resolve as Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast that may differ from individual analyst predictions for the Dune Part Three Rotten Tomatoes score. While some analysts may offer point estimates, this market represents a probabilistic view, aggregating the opinions of many traders. It's common to see discrepancies between early analyst predictions and the wisdom of the crowd as expressed through a prediction market like this one, as new information emerges and sentiment shifts. Comparing these forecasts provides a broader perspective on potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders bid and ask on different score ranges for Dune: Part Three. The price of each outcome reflects the market's current expectation of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on news, trailers, and overall anticipation for the film, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The total volume traded indicates the level of interest and confidence in each potential outcome, offering insights into market sentiment.
This market resolves around Dec 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Rotten Tomatoes score for Dune: Part Three is publicly available and verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by Rotten Tomatoes, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor news sources and Rotten Tomatoes directly as the release date approaches to stay informed about the film's critical reception and the eventual resolution of this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Early reviews from film festivals or critics screenings will likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Major marketing campaigns or unexpected controversies surrounding the film could also influence trader sentiment. Box office projections and comparisons to the performance of the first two Dune films could also play a role. Any news regarding the director, cast, or production quality will be closely watched, and could move the market as traders adjust their expectations for the Dune Part Three score.
