TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$142,891,824

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,211,057,904

339,560

Markets across

34,155

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,672

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
polymarket
kalshi

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?

Total volume:
$127,671
Volume 24h:
$52,708
993%
Liquidity:
$0
100%
Open interest:
$17,176
47%

Above 0

 - Kalshi

Above 0 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 5, 2026

Time left: 08d:18h:19m

Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Aug 16, 2026 and Aug 22, 2026?

4%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 3¢ buys you 3,333 shares | Odds: 4% Total Payout: $3,333 | Net Profit: $3,233 Multiplier: 33.33x | ROI: 3,233% APY not meaningful 8 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 0

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$13,209
68%
447%
$9,569
1w 1d 18h
active
kalshi

Above 1

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$9,784
60%
442%
$5,345
1w 1d 18h
active
kalshi

Above 2

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$4,012
0%
427%
$2,262
1w 1d 18h
active
polymarket

200+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$17,183
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Yes
polymarket

80-99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21,944
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

60-79

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,726
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

120-139

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,480
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

180-199

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,972
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

140-159

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

160-179

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,608
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

100-119

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,589
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

40-59

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,987
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

<20

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,255
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
polymarket

20-39

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$417
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This event group tracks two distinct political activity metrics for Donald Trump during August 2026: the number of Truth Social posts made between August 14 and August 21, and the number of executive orders signed between August 16 and August 22. The Truth Social market has multiple bin options for post counts, while the executive orders market has three overlapping yes/no contracts for thresholds of 0, 1, and 2 orders.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Each market group has independent but well-defined resolution criteria with clear data sourcesPrimary resolution logic: Polymarket tracker for Truth Social posts, White House official records for executive orders

Core resolution logic:

  • Truth Social posts counted only if they appear on the main feed, including quote posts and reposts (replies excluded unless appear on main feed)
  • Deleted posts count if captured within ~5 minutes by the tracker
  • Executive orders counted only if officially signed and announced during August 16-22, 2026 period

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Post timing: Posts must be published between August 14 12:00 PM ET and August 21 12:00 PM ET to count
  • Executive order announcement: Only orders officially signed and announced during the specified period count, regardless of publication date
Timing: All markets resolve after August 21, 2026 (Truth Social) and August 22, 2026 (Executive Orders)Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the number of executive orders signed by the President between August 16, 2026, and August 22, 2026. An executive order must be formally titled as such, numbered, signed by the President, published in the Federal Register, and possess the force of law to qualify. All such orders are counted regardless of later revocation or amendment. The signing date recorded in the Federal Register determines inclusion, even if publication occurs after the period. Contracts expire two weeks after the period ends, with possible early expiration if relevant orders are published later.