TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Bachelorette Season 22 Winner
polymarket

Who will win the Bachelorette Season 22?

Feb 24, 2026, 6:52 PM EST - Nov 30, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$2,469,890
Volume 24h:
$151
753%
Liquidity:
$60,083
3%
Open interest:
$11,048N/A

Other

 - Polymarket

Other - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 30, 2026

Will another contestant win The Bachelorette Season 22?

91%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 94¢ buys you 106 shares | Odds: 91% Total Payout: $106 | Net Profit: $6 Multiplier: 1.06x | ROI: 6% | APY: 94% Low liquidity 33 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Other

Trade
91%
Yes 94¢No 12¢
6¢
$910
$7,787
2%
2%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

Doug Mason

Trade
2%
Yes 2.8¢No 99.3¢
2.1¢
$1,194
$21,733
0%
0.12%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

Matt Carroll

Trade
1%
Yes 1.4¢No 99.5¢
0.9¢
$4,015
$3,212
0%
4%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

Michael Baba

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.6¢
0.6¢
$1,286
$31,914
0%
2%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

Shane Parton

Trade
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.7¢
0.4¢
$4,234
$50,678
0%
0.12%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

Malik Evans

Trade
0%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.7¢
0.3¢
$2,614
$14,349
0.11%
0.75%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

Clayton Johnson

Trade
0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.6¢
0.1¢
$4,204
$5,861
0%
0.35%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Johnnie LaRossa

Trade
0%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.8¢
0.4¢
$4,211
$9,553
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

Kevin Montero

Trade
0%
Yes 0.6¢No 99.8¢
0.4¢
$3,983
$3,979
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

Marcus Richardson

Trade
0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.8¢
0.3¢
$4,083
$2,660
0.23%
0.23%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

Christopher Wood

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,133
$2,632
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Casey Hux

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$4,194
$16,195
0%
0.03%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Richard Van De Water

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$2,937
$1,976,607
0%
0.01%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

Lew Evans

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$4,559
$132,957
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

Aaron Kahng

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$4,829
$89,092
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Ronn Perez

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$1,050
$23,050
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

Brandon Perce

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$1,059
$15,439
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Rod Strozier

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$1,249
$3,553
0%
0.11%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

Brad Ledford

Trade
0%
Yes 0.2¢No 99.9¢
0.1¢
$908
$3,501
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

Conrad Ukropina

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,200
$40,501
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

Trenten Merrill

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$912
$7,285
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

Mike Turitto

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,206
$4,766
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
polymarket

Josh Harward

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$4,117
$2,587
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 3d
active
Total markets: 23

Intro

This market tracks which contestant will win Season 22 of The Bachelorette. Currently, Polymarket gives a 91.5% probability to another contestant winning, while Doug Mason is at 3.6%. The market resolves based on the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22, specifically the contestant who receives the final rose, as determined by the finale episode. Keep an eye on November 30, 2026, as this is the date by which the final episode must be publicly available for the market to resolve according to the stated rules.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Bachelorette winner market tracks the current odds for each potential contestant to win the season. You’ll find a price history showing how these odds have changed over time, reflecting trader sentiment. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $944, and the total volume traded to date, which is $2,469,890. This provides a clear picture of market activity and which contestants are generating the most interest among those predicting the outcome of the show.

Currently, prediction market odds often differ from traditional analyst forecasts regarding the Bachelorette winner. While analysts may focus on personality compatibility or narrative arcs, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are actively putting capital behind their predictions. This can lead to odds that diverge from pre-show predictions based on media coverage and social media buzz. It's common to see a contestant favored by analysts experience a shift in odds as traders assess their chances based on early episodes and revealed information.

This market resolves around Dec 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official announcement of the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22, as broadcast on television and reported by reliable news sources. The market will determine which contestant receives the final rose and is declared the winner by the show’s host. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market will be settled.

Several signals and events could significantly move this market before resolution. Early interactions between the Bachelorette and contestants, particularly during the first few rose ceremonies, will likely cause shifts in odds. Dramatic moments, unexpected eliminations, or revelations about a contestant’s background can all impact trader sentiment. Social media reactions and media coverage also play a role, as they influence public perception. Any significant change in a contestant’s storyline or perceived connection with the Bachelorette could lead to substantial price movements in this market.