TOTAL VOLUME:

$114.5b

24H VOL:

$142,891,824

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,380,975,298

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,211,057,904

339,560

Markets across

34,155

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,672

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

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Anthropic acquired before 2027?
polymarket
limitless

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Total volume:
$33,246
Volume 24h:
$0N/A
Liquidity:
$1,775
4%
Open interest:
$6,655N/A

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

3%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 3.3¢ buys you 3,030 shares | Odds: 3% Total Payout: $3,030 | Net Profit: $2,930 Multiplier: 30.30x | ROI: 2,930% APY not meaningful 125 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Trade
3%
Yes 3.3¢No 97.3¢
0.6¢
$1,775
$29,748
0%
1%
N/A
4mo 5d
active
limitless

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

1%
Yes 1.5¢No 98.6¢
2.3¢
N/A
$3,498
0%
0%
N/A
4mo 6d
active
PredictionHero
Market Consensus
2%
Yes 2.4¢No 98¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2.3¢
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group asks whether Anthropic will be acquired by any entity before the end of 2026. Resolution triggers on a signed acquisition agreement announcement, regardless of completion status, or if Anthropic is subsumed into another entity through merger.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria, timing threshold, and source hierarchy with no material divergence.Primary resolution logic: Official Anthropic and/or leadership announcements; consensus of credible reporting as secondary source

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is YES if any entity enters into an acquisition agreement with Anthropic by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
  • An announced agreement qualifies for YES resolution regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed
  • Mergers where Anthropic is subsumed by another entity count toward YES resolution
  • Resolution is NO if no credible acquisition agreement is announced by the deadline

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Announced but Incomplete Acquisition: Resolves YES. The criteria explicitly state that announcement of an agreement qualifies, independent of completion status.
  • Merger vs Acquisition Distinction: Both structures resolve YES if Anthropic is subsumed into another entity or enters into an acquisition agreement.
  • Credible Reporting Standard: Official Anthropic/leadership sources are primary; consensus of credible reporting (major financial/tech news outlets) serves as acceptable secondary confirmation.
  • Timing Boundary: Agreement must be entered into by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Announcements after this timestamp do not qualify.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon credible confirmation of an acquisition agreement announcement, or on January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET if no agreement has been announced by the deadline.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where Anthropic is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between Anthropic and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Anthropic and/or its leadership, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Limitless

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where Anthropic is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between Anthropic and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Anthropic and/or its leadership, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.