TOTAL VOLUME:
$66b
24H VOL:
$398,877,831
24H TRANSACTIONS:
647,445,881
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,477,629,845
622,934
Markets across
14,083
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,257
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
49%
VS.
Kalshi:
51%
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
Anthropic acquired before 2027?
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Description
This event group asks whether Anthropic will be acquired by any entity before the end of 2026. Resolution triggers on a signed acquisition agreement announcement, regardless of completion status, or if Anthropic is subsumed into another entity through merger.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Primary resolution logic:
Official Anthropic and/or leadership announcements; consensus of credible reporting as secondary sourceCore resolution logic:
- Resolution is YES if any entity enters into an acquisition agreement with Anthropic by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
- An announced agreement qualifies for YES resolution regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed
- Mergers where Anthropic is subsumed by another entity count toward YES resolution
- Resolution is NO if no credible acquisition agreement is announced by the deadline
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Announced but Incomplete Acquisition: Resolves YES. The criteria explicitly state that announcement of an agreement qualifies, independent of completion status.
- Merger vs Acquisition Distinction: Both structures resolve YES if Anthropic is subsumed into another entity or enters into an acquisition agreement.
- Credible Reporting Standard: Official Anthropic/leadership sources are primary; consensus of credible reporting (major financial/tech news outlets) serves as acceptable secondary confirmation.
- Timing Boundary: Agreement must be entered into by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Announcements after this timestamp do not qualify.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon credible confirmation of an acquisition agreement announcement, or on January 1, 2027, 12:00 AM ET if no agreement has been announced by the deadline.Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where Anthropic is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between Anthropic and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Anthropic and/or its leadership, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Limitless
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where Anthropic is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between Anthropic and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Anthropic and/or its leadership, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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