TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Pro Football: 49ers 2026 Win Total
kalshi
polymarket

Will the 49ers exceed 2026 wins?

Total volume:
$769,025
Volume 24h:
$3,911
41%
Liquidity:
$8,177
25%
Open interest:
$440,752
0.62%

9+ wins

 - Kalshi

9+ wins - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Feb 15, 2027

Will the San Francisco pro football team win at least 9 games this season?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 5% Illiquid market 82 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

9+ wins

Trade
99%
2%
Yes 100¢No 3¢
3¢
N/A
$58,956
0.2%
8%
$18,334
2mo 3w 1d
active
kalshi

8+ wins

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 5¢
5¢
N/A
$4,812
0%
8%
$3,311
2mo 3w 1d
active
polymarket

8.5+ Wins

Trade
96%
1%
Yes 98.6¢No 6.1¢
4.7¢
$493
$249
0%
12%
N/A
3mo 3w
active
kalshi

10+ wins

Trade
96%
Yes 95¢No 8¢
3¢
N/A
$115,885
0%
2%
$60,684
2mo 3w 1d
active
polymarket

9.5+ Wins

Trade
94%
Yes 95¢No 7¢
2¢
$1,034
$728
0%
21%
N/A
3mo 3w
active
kalshi

7+ wins

Trade
93%
Yes 100¢No 5¢
5¢
N/A
$6,968
0%
29%
$4,966
2mo 3w 1d
active
kalshi

11+ wins

Trade
80%
10%
Yes 85¢No 20¢
5¢
N/A
$113,220
0.07%
1%
$54,611
2mo 3w 1d
active
polymarket

10.5+ Wins

Trade
80%
1%
Yes 81¢No 21¢
2¢
$2,488
$1,245
0.97%
13%
N/A
3mo 3w
active
kalshi

12+ wins

Trade
69%
Yes 70¢No 31¢
1¢
N/A
$117,030
0.17%
10%
$63,659
2mo 3w 1d
active
polymarket

11.5+ Wins

Trade
67%
1%
Yes 68¢No 34¢
2¢
$2,354
$1,214
0%
34%
N/A
3mo 3w
active
kalshi

13+ wins

Trade
49%
Yes 48¢No 53¢
1¢
N/A
$136,281
0.24%
5%
$90,973
2mo 3w 1d
active
polymarket

12.5+ Wins

Trade
48%
Yes 49¢No 53¢
2¢
$1,808
$4,874
0%
13%
N/A
3mo 3w
active
kalshi

14+ wins

Trade
23%
6%
Yes 29¢No 76¢
5¢
N/A
$75,669
0.93%
21%
$45,677
2mo 3w 1d
active
kalshi

15+ wins

Trade
10%
2%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
N/A
$46,230
0.06%
10%
$34,071
2mo 3w 1d
active
kalshi

16+ wins

Trade
5%
4%
Yes 6¢No 96¢
2¢
N/A
$19,860
1%
8%
$15,119
2mo 3w 1d
active
kalshi

5+ wins

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,417
N/A
N/A
$2,347
2mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

6+ wins

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,854
N/A
N/A
$1,754
2mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

4+ wins

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,796
N/A
N/A
$1,347
2mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

3+ wins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$999
N/A
N/A
$999
2mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

1+ wins

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$308
N/A
N/A
$235
2mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

2+ wins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
$29
2mo 3w 1d
Yes
kalshi

17 wins

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,392
N/A
N/A
$42,637
2mo 3w 1d
No
Total markets: 22

Description

This group forecasts the San Francisco 49ers' win total for the 2026 NFL regular season. Markets exist on both Kalshi and Polymarket, offering various thresholds for the team's final win count. Resolution hinges on official NFL records of regular season wins.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms offer different win total thresholds, creating SKU risk. Kalshi offers markets for exceeding specific win counts (1-17), while Polymarket focuses on over/under markets.Hero tip: Carefully compare the specific win total threshold offered on each platform before trading. Consider the implied probability of the 49ers achieving each threshold.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Polymarket markets resolve 'Yes' if the 49ers have *more than* a specified number of wins (e.g., 8.5, 9.5). "Otherwise this market will resolve to "No"."
  • Kalshi: Kalshi markets resolve 'Yes' if the 49ers win *at least* a specified number of games (1-17). "If the San Francisco Pro Football team wins at least 1 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team's regular season win total exceeds the listed number. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Only official regular-season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total. If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins. If the 2026 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after February 15, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official NFL records (https://www.nfl.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the San Francisco Pro Football team's total regular season wins during the 2026-27 season. Resolution occurs when the team completes its regular season schedule. Each outcome corresponds to a minimum win threshold, ranging from 1 to 17 wins. The market resolves to Yes for each outcome if the team achieves at least that threshold of wins during the regular season.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard provides a consensus view of predictions on the 49ers 2026 win total market, aggregating data from multiple prediction platforms. Currently, the total volume across these platforms is $769,025, with $3,008 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors Will the San Francisco 49ers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? at 96.3%, while Kalshi leans toward Will the San Francisco pro football team win at least 9 games this season? at 99.0%. The dashboard allows you to compare probabilities and trading volume across Polymarket and Kalshi, offering a comprehensive look at where the crowd stands on the 49ers' potential performance.

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade on their belief about the 49ers’ win total. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional odds, particularly when there’s significant public interest and trading volume. The current volume of $769,025 suggests active participation in this market.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has a different user base, trading dynamics, and fee structure, all of which can influence price discovery. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, the liquidity available on each platform can vary, impacting how quickly prices adjust to new information. For example, Polymarket might see more activity from sophisticated traders, while Kalshi may attract a broader range of participants. These differing market forces contribute to the observed price differences in the 49ers 2026 win total market.

This market resolves around Feb 16, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final win total for the San Francisco 49ers in the 2026 NFL season will be used to determine the result of this market. The resolution will be based on official NFL statistics and records, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Trading will cease prior to this date, allowing for final price adjustments based on available information.

Numerous factors could influence the price of this market. Significant player injuries to key 49ers players, coaching changes, or major acquisitions through trades or free agency would all likely cause movement. Performance in the 2025 NFL season, including the development of young players and the team's overall trajectory, will also be closely watched. Unexpected rule changes or shifts in the competitive landscape of the NFC West could also impact predictions. With a current volume of $3,008, the market is sensitive to new information and evolving expectations.