TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion
kalshi
polymarket
predict

Who will win the AFC Championship?

Total volume:
$19,307,807
Volume 24h:
$582,478
16%
Liquidity:
$1,458,703
2%
Open interest:
$10,573,399
0.09%

Buffalo Bills

all

3 markets

Predict

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Mar 31, 2027

Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?

25%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 26.9¢ buys you 372 shares | Odds: 25% Total Payout: $372 | Net Profit: $272 Multiplier: 3.72x | ROI: 272% APY not meaningful 89 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Buffalo Bills

Trade
25%
2%
Yes 26.9¢No 77¢
3.9¢
$31,436
$37,570
0.48%
3%
N/A
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

Buffalo Bills

Trade
24%
1%
Yes 24¢No 77¢
1¢
$79,814
$37,974
0.04%
2%
N/A
5mo 5d
active
kalshi

Buffalo

Trade
23%
Yes 24¢No 79¢
3¢
N/A
$827,249
0.42%
3%
$518,261
3mo 2w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
23.1%
Yes 25¢No 77.7¢
Avg: 2.6¢Max: 3.9¢
kalshi

Kansas City

Trade
18%
Yes 18¢No 83¢
1¢
N/A
$988,993
2%
6%
$792,786
3mo 2w
active
predict

Kansas City Chiefs

Trade
18%
1%
Yes 20¢No 84¢
4¢
$32,428
$82,998
0.05%
2%
N/A
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

Kansas City Chiefs

Trade
18%
Yes 18¢No 83¢
1¢
$67,932
$176,194
0.03%
0.86%
N/A
5mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
17.9%
Yes 18.7¢No 83.3¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Jacksonville

Trade
13%
Yes 12¢No 89¢
1¢
N/A
$785,046
0.38%
2%
$527,250
3mo 2w
active
polymarket

Jacksonville Jaguars

Trade
12%
Yes 13¢No 89¢
2¢
$86,783
$54,642
0%
0.97%
N/A
5mo 5d
active
predict

Jacksonville Jaguars

Trade
11%
Yes 11.5¢No 89.4¢
0.9¢
$35,168
$59,560
0.28%
0.29%
N/A
2mo 4w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
12.8%
Yes 12.2¢No 89.1¢
Avg: 1.3¢Max: 2¢
predict

Baltimore Ravens

Trade
11%
Yes 11.1¢No 89.5¢
0.6¢
$33,635
$8,171
6%
21%
N/A
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

Baltimore Ravens

Trade
11%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
$66,192
$51,666
0.15%
8%
N/A
5mo 5d
active
kalshi

Baltimore

Trade
10%
2%
Yes 9¢No 92¢
1¢
N/A
$386,044
0.2%
3%
$271,127
3mo 2w
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
10.1%
Yes 10.4¢No 90.5¢
Avg: 0.9¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Denver

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
N/A
$973,257
0.31%
3%
$669,010
3mo 2w
active
predict

Denver Broncos

Trade
7%
Yes 7.1¢No 94¢
1.1¢
$32,537
$44,964
0.07%
0.44%
N/A
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

Denver Broncos

Trade
7%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
$61,145
$72,390
0.02%
2%
N/A
5mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
9.6%
Yes 8¢No 93¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1.1¢
kalshi

Cincinnati

Trade
10%
Yes 10¢No 91¢
1¢
N/A
$947,512
0.27%
13%
$666,663
3mo 2w
active
predict

Cincinnati Bengals

Trade
9%
1%
Yes 9.2¢No 91.7¢
0.9¢
$30,632
$50,922
0.02%
0.45%
N/A
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

Cincinnati Bengals

Trade
8%
1%
Yes 9¢No 92.2¢
1.2¢
$68,017
$262,044
0.19%
0.36%
N/A
5mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
9.6%
Yes 9.4¢No 91.6¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1.2¢
kalshi

New England

Trade
8%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$673,912
0.32%
3%
$542,865
3mo 2w
active
predict

New England Patriots

Trade
7%
1%
Yes 6.9¢No 93.6¢
0.5¢
$30,699
$44,170
0.25%
1%
N/A
2mo 4w 1d
active
polymarket

New England Patriots

Trade
7%
Yes 7¢No 94¢
1¢
$67,918
$34,469
0%
2%
N/A
5mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
7.9%
Yes 6.6¢No 94.2¢
Avg: 0.8¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Pittsburgh

Trade
4%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$1,652,484
0.33%
9%
$1,496,971
3mo 2w
active
polymarket

Pittsburgh Steelers

Trade
2%
Yes 2.3¢No 97.8¢
0.1¢
$52,356
$582,813
0%
0.01%
N/A
5mo 5d
active
predict

Pittsburgh Steelers

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 99.3¢
0.3¢
$30,328
$312,696
0%
N/A
N/A
2mo 4w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.2%
Yes 2.4¢No 98¢
Avg: 0.5¢Max: 1¢
predict

Houston Texans

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 5¢No 97.6¢
2.6¢
$31,536
$48,283
0.13%
3%
N/A
2mo 4w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3%
Yes 5¢No 97.6¢
Avg: 2.6¢Max: 2.6¢
Total markets: 25 of 48

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship game. Currently, the consensus probability favors the Buffalo Bills to win at 21.5%, with the Kansas City Chiefs following at 16.9%. This aggregated view combines data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, and will resolve based on official NFL information (https://www.nfl.com/) or a consensus of credible reporting. Keep an eye on the results of the AFC Wild Card playoff games, scheduled to begin January 13-15, 2027, as an early indicator of potential contenders.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the official winner of the 2027 AFC Championship game, with a shared contingency for cancellation/postponement and team ineligibility.Primary resolution logic: Official NFL information (https://www.nfl.com/) or a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' for the team that wins the 2027 AFC Championship game.
  • If the 2027 AFC Championship game is cancelled or postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, the market resolves to 'Other'.
  • If a team becomes ineligible to win the championship per NFL rules, the corresponding market resolves to 'No'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie Game: In the unlikely event of a tie game, the NFL's tie-breaking procedures will determine the winner, and that team will be the resolution.
  • Forfeiture: If a team forfeits the AFC Championship game, the other team will be declared the winner.
Timing: Resolution will occur immediately following the conclusion of the 2027 AFC Championship game, or upon official announcement of cancellation/postponement/forfeiture by the NFL, no later than March 31, 2027 ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL AFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL AFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Baltimore wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Buffalo wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cincinnati wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cleveland wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Denver wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Houston wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Indianapolis wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jacksonville wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas City wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Las Vegas wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Los Angeles C wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If New England wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If New York J wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pittsburgh wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tennessee wins the Pro Football AFC Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL AFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL AFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the AFC Championship market, aggregating trading activity across both platforms to provide a consensus view of who is most likely to win. Currently, the total volume for this market exceeds $19,307,807, with $75,387 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a comprehensive understanding of predictions beyond any single venue. The dashboard displays the implied probabilities and trading volume, offering a holistic perspective on the evolving expectations for the 2027 AFC Champion.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more accurate aggregate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to profit from public perception, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their true beliefs. The wisdom of the crowd tends to converge on a more realistic probability assessment. However, differences can exist due to varying market liquidity and participant expertise. It’s common to see a 0.5 difference in implied probabilities between this market and major sportsbooks.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of information and risk tolerance. Trading fees, market-specific rules, and the volume of participants also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the way each platform handles order types and market making can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? at 23.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Will Buffalo win the Pro Football AFC Championship? at 23.0%, illustrating these differences.

This market resolves around Apr 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the 2027 AFC Championship game, as officially declared by the NFL, will determine the settlement of this market. Trading will cease once the official result is known and verified. The market’s outcome will reflect the team that wins the AFC Championship game and advances to the Super Bowl.

Numerous factors could influence trading activity in this market. Key player injuries, coaching changes, team performance during the regular season, and significant trades are all potential catalysts. Unexpected upsets or dominant performances by certain teams could also shift probabilities. News regarding team chemistry, training camp reports, and even weather forecasts leading up to the AFC Championship game could all impact trader sentiment and move the market. Any information that alters perceptions of a team’s chances of winning will likely be reflected in the price.