TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner
kalshi
polymarket
predict

Who will win Pro Football MVP?

Total volume:
$44,155,209
Volume 24h:
$286,159
65%
Liquidity:
$1,651,468
5%
Open interest:
$30,980,387
0.45%

Josh Allen

all

3 markets

Predict

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Mar 14, 2027

Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?

35%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 34.7¢ buys you 288 shares | Odds: 35% Total Payout: $288 | Net Profit: $188 Multiplier: 2.88x | ROI: 188% High Projected APY: 3,147% 110 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Josh Allen

Trade
35%
Yes 34.7¢No 65.4¢
0.1¢
$37,287
$311,298
2%
3%
N/A
3mo 2w 6d
active
polymarket

Josh Allen

Trade
35%
2%
Yes 35¢No 66¢
1¢
$12,860
$65,358
2%
9%
N/A
4mo 4d
active
kalshi

Josh Allen

Trade
31%
5%
Yes 31¢No 70¢
1¢
N/A
$1,554,371
0.58%
3%
$1,100,572
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
31.7%
Yes 33.6¢No 67.1¢
Avg: 0.7¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Joe Burrow

Trade
18%
5%
Yes 17¢No 84¢
1¢
N/A
$1,675,875
0.48%
14%
$1,242,043
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Joe Burrow

Trade
14%
1%
Yes 14.8¢No 86.5¢
1.3¢
$20,079
$42,314
2%
9%
N/A
4mo 4d
active
predict

Joe Burrow

Trade
13%
4%
Yes 15.2¢No 88.9¢
4.1¢
$61,289
$134,022
4%
6%
N/A
3mo 2w 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
17.6%
Yes 15.7¢No 86.5¢
Avg: 2.1¢Max: 4.1¢
predict

Brock Purdy

Trade
17%
1%
Yes 18.1¢No 83.4¢
1.5¢
$62,033
$118,735
0.28%
3%
N/A
3mo 2w 6d
active
polymarket

Brock Purdy

Trade
16%
2%
Yes 17¢No 85.9¢
2.9¢
$9,218
$46,111
0.15%
7%
N/A
3mo 2w 6d
active
kalshi

Brock Purdy

Trade
15%
Yes 15¢No 86¢
1¢
N/A
$1,713,861
0.34%
6%
$1,297,163
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
15.2%
Yes 16.7¢No 85.1¢
Avg: 1.8¢Max: 2.9¢
kalshi

Drake Maye

Trade
6%
1%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$1,657,451
0.05%
2%
$1,321,811
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Drake Maye

Trade
5%
Yes 6.6¢No 96.7¢
3.3¢
$7,322
$37,990
0%
0.73%
N/A
3mo 2w 6d
active
predict

Drake Maye

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 5.2¢No 99.3¢
4.5¢
$34,651
$247,715
0.01%
2%
N/A
3mo 2w 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5.6%
Yes 5.9¢No 97¢
Avg: 2.9¢Max: 4.5¢
kalshi

Caleb Williams

Trade
6%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$1,903,425
0.6%
16%
$1,374,651
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Caleb Williams

Trade
4%
Yes 4.4¢No 95.7¢
0.1¢
$14,904
$140,275
0.69%
7%
N/A
4mo 4d
active
predict

Caleb Williams

Trade
2%
Yes 1.9¢No 98.3¢
0.2¢
$33,503
$368,578
0%
60%
N/A
3mo 2w 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
5.3%
Yes 4.1¢No 96.3¢
Avg: 0.4¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Trevor Lawrence

Trade
5%
1%
Yes 6¢No 95¢
1¢
N/A
$1,254,074
4%
7%
$955,951
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Trevor Lawrence

Trade
2%
Yes 2.5¢No 97.8¢
0.3¢
$3,729
$38,384
0.05%
0.46%
N/A
4mo 4d
active
predict

Trevor Lawrence

Trade
1%
3%
Yes 1.2¢No 98.9¢
0.1¢
$62,635
$66,392
0.04%
11%
N/A
3mo 2w 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
4.7%
Yes 3.2¢No 97.2¢
Avg: 0.5¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Jared Goff

Trade
4%
Yes 5¢No 96¢
1¢
N/A
$2,088,324
1%
8%
$1,850,642
4mo 2w 4d
active
polymarket

Jared Goff

Trade
3%
Yes 3.9¢No 97.3¢
1.2¢
$8,525
$31,057
0%
3%
N/A
4mo 4d
active
predict

Jared Goff

Trade
2%
1%
Yes 2.4¢No 99.1¢
1.5¢
$47,985
$148,726
1%
2%
N/A
3mo 2w 6d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.8%
Yes 3.8¢No 97.5¢
Avg: 1.2¢Max: 1.5¢
predict

Patrick Mahomes

Trade
7%
3%
Yes 11.3¢No 97.8¢
9.1¢
$61,781
$173,127
4%
37%
N/A
3mo 2w 6d
active
polymarket

Patrick Mahomes

Trade
4%
1%
Yes 6.1¢No 97.7¢
3.8¢
$8,255
$37,783
1%
9%
N/A
4mo 4d
active
kalshi

Patrick Mahomes

Trade
3%
1%
Yes 4¢No 97¢
1¢
N/A
$1,336,440
0.58%
4%
$944,987
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.5%
Yes 7.1¢No 97.5¢
Avg: 4.6¢Max: 9.1¢
kalshi

Jordan Love

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$1,839,561
0.49%
8%
$1,615,378
4mo 2w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2.9%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 25 of 104

Intro

This market tracks which player will be named the NFL’s Most Valuable Player for the 2026-2027 season. Currently, the consensus probability favors Josh Allen to win the award, at 26.0%. This forecast aggregates data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, and will resolve based on the Official NFL/AP announcement. Will Brock Purdy win the MVP? is currently at 12.0%. Keep an eye on the AP MVP announcement, expected around March 14, 2027, to see which player takes home the honor.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the official AP NFL MVP award for the 2026-2027 season, with a tiebreaker and cancellation clause.Primary resolution logic: Official NFL/AP announcement

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the official AP NFL MVP award.
  • In the event of a tie, the player with the alphabetically first last name wins.
  • If the 2026-2027 NFL season is cancelled or significantly postponed (beyond February 28, 2027), the market resolves to 'Other'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie: If multiple players receive the same number of votes for MVP, the player whose last name comes first alphabetically will be deemed the winner for market resolution purposes.
  • Season Cancellation: If the 2026-2027 NFL season is cancelled or postponed past February 28, 2027, the market will resolve to 'Other'.
Timing: The market will resolve upon the official announcement of the AP NFL MVP award for the 2026-2027 season, typically in early February 2027.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

If Ashton Jeanty wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lamar Jackson wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josh Allen wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Mahomes wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joe Burrow wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jayden Daniels wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Herbert wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jalen Hurts wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If CJ Stroud wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brock Purdy wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jared Goff wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Caleb Williams wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jordan Love wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baker Mayfield wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dak Prescott wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthew Stafford wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Trevor Lawrence wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bijan Robinson wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyler Murray wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tua Tagovailoa wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Drake Maye wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Darnold wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bryce Young wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jonathan Taylor wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bo Nix wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Penix Jr wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aaron Rodgers wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If JJ McCarthy wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Jefferson wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ja'Marr Chase wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jahmyr Gibbs wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jaxon Smith-Njigba wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Saquon Barkley wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cam Ward wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Puka Nacua wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christian McCaffrey wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Myles Garrett wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Micah Parsons wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jaxson Dart wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tyler Shough wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If A.J. Brown wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josh Jacobs wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If CeeDee Lamb wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Jones wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie/Co-Winners wins the Pro Football AP Regular Season MVP in the 2026-27 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Predict

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the aggregate probabilities of various candidates winning the 2026 NFL MVP award. It combines trading volume and implied probabilities from both platforms to provide a consensus view of who is favored to win. Currently, the total volume across both venues exceeds $44,155,194, with $284,700 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a comprehensive understanding of the collective prediction regarding the 2026 NFL MVP market, going beyond the individual insights offered by each platform alone.

Generally, prediction markets like this one tend to offer more accurate forecasts than traditional sportsbooks, especially closer to the event date. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets allow traders to directly assess probabilities. However, initial sportsbook odds can influence early trading activity in this market. The difference in odds can also reflect differing levels of information and expertise among participants; prediction markets benefit from the wisdom of the crowd. It’s common to see the spread between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds narrow as Mar 14, 2027 approaches.

This market resolves around Mar 14, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be the player officially named as the 2026 NFL MVP by the NFL. Any official announcement or correction from the NFL will be considered the final determination. Trading will cease prior to this date, and the market will settle based on the official results. The outcome will be determined by the official NFL announcement, and not by any subjective interpretation of player performance.

Numerous events could significantly impact trading activity in this market. Player performance throughout the 2025 and 2026 NFL seasons will be a primary driver, with strong performances increasing a player’s probability. Injuries to key contenders will also have a substantial effect, shifting probabilities towards healthy alternatives. Major trades or coaching changes could also reshape the landscape. Unexpected developments, such as rule changes or shifts in team strategy, could also influence the market. News regarding player contracts or off-field issues could also move the odds.