TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Pro Football: 2026-27 NFC #1 Seed
kalshi
polymarket

Who will be NFC #1 seed?

Total volume:
$592,433
Volume 24h:
$42,191N/A
Liquidity:
$574
36%
Open interest:
$459,926
0.63%

San Francisco

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 11, 2027

Will San Francisco be the NFC 1 Seed?

40%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 40¢ buys you 250 shares | Odds: 40% Total Payout: $250 | Net Profit: $150 Multiplier: 2.50x | ROI: 150% High Projected APY: 8,050% 76 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

San Francisco

Trade
40%
1%
Yes 40¢No 61¢
1¢
N/A
$86,646
0.13%
21%
$52,869
2mo 2w 2d
active
polymarket

San Francisco 49ers

Trade
89%
3%
Yes 89¢No 55.5¢
—
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
40%
Yes 40¢No 61¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Minnesota

Trade
29%
1%
Yes 27¢No 74¢
1¢
N/A
$59,316
1%
11%
$51,130
2mo 2w 2d
active
polymarket

Minnesota Vikings

Trade
43%
2%
Yes 80¢No 94¢
74¢
$77
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
29%
Yes 27¢No 74¢
Avg: 37.5¢Max: 74¢
kalshi

Chicago

Trade
13%
Yes 9¢No 95¢
4¢
N/A
$53,907
1%
8%
$46,570
2mo 2w 2d
active
polymarket

Chicago Bears

Trade
90%
3%
Yes 90¢No 55¢
—
$17
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
13%
Yes 9¢No 95¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Detroit

Trade
10%
2%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
1¢
N/A
$57,574
0.95%
1%
$30,051
2mo 2w 2d
active
polymarket

Detroit Lions

Trade
89%
6%
Yes 89¢No 55.5¢
—
$46
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
10%
Yes 11¢No 90¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Seattle

Trade
6%
2%
Yes 6¢No 96¢
2¢
N/A
$54,894
0.76%
5%
$36,981
2mo 2w 2d
active
polymarket

Seattle Seahawks

Trade
90%
Yes 90¢No 55¢
—
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
6%
Yes 6¢No 96¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Los Angeles R

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
3¢
N/A
$39,846
1%
2%
$26,956
2mo 2w 2d
active
polymarket

Los Angeles Rams

Trade
89%
6%
Yes 89¢No 55.5¢
—
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3%
Yes 3¢No 100¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

New Orleans

Trade
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$38,157
0%
0%
$37,057
2mo 2w 2d
active
polymarket

New Orleans Saints

Trade
90%
3%
Yes 90¢No 55¢
—
$22
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Philadelphia

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$39,072
0%
0%
$23,775
2mo 2w 2d
active
polymarket

Philadelphia Eagles

Trade
90%
Yes 90.3¢No 54.9¢
—
$27
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

New York G

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$37,548
0%
0.24%
$36,938
2mo 2w 2d
active
polymarket

New York Giants

Trade
84%
5%
Yes 84¢No 58¢
—
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Dallas

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$33,183
0.31%
0.62%
$31,945
2mo 2w 2d
active
polymarket

Dallas Cowboys

Trade
84%
3%
Yes 84¢No 58¢
—
$60
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Green Bay

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$21,923
0%
0.93%
$18,475
2mo 2w 2d
active
polymarket

Green Bay Packers

Trade
89%
29%
Yes 89.3¢No 55.4¢
—
$29
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Atlanta

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$20,439
0.02%
0.03%
$19,488
2mo 2w 2d
active
polymarket

Atlanta Falcons

Trade
89%
2%
Yes 89¢No 55.5¢
—
$12
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 1d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Tampa Bay

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$19,158
0%
0%
$18,166
2mo 2w 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 25 of 32

Intro

This market tracks the probability of the New Orleans Saints achieving the NFC’s #1 seed for the 2027 NFL Playoffs. Currently, the consensus probability across Kalshi and Polymarket is 95.0% that they will. Resolution will be based on Official NFL standings (https://www.nfl.com/standings) at the conclusion of the regular season, applying NFL tie-breaking procedures. Keep an eye on the final regular season games scheduled for January 10, 2027, as those results will directly determine the NFC #1 seed and resolve this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms rely on the same criteria: the team with the #1 NFC seed at the conclusion of the 2026-2027 regular season, utilizing NFL tie-breaking rules.Primary resolution logic: Official NFL standings (https://www.nfl.com/standings)

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to 'Yes' for the team officially awarded the #1 seed in the NFC.
  • NFL tie-breaking procedures will be used to determine the #1 seed in case of tied records (https://www.nfl.com/standings/tie-breaking-procedures).

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Cancelled Season: If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled or postponed after January 24, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 'Other'.
  • Undetermined Seed: If the #1 seed in the NFC has not been officially determined by January 24, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 'Other'.
Timing: Resolution will occur after the conclusion of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season and no later than January 24, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, based on official NFL standings.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the team that receives the number 1 seed in the National Football Conference (NFC) for the 2027 NFL Playoffs, based on the final standings of the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to receive the number 1 seed in the NFC for the 2027 NFL Playoffs, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are tied for the best regular season record in the NFC, this market will resolve in favor of the team that is officially awarded the number 1 seed under the NFL's tie-breaking procedures, available here: https://www.nfl.com/standings/tie-breaking-procedures. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 24, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the number 1 seed in the NFC has not been officially determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The NFC #1 seed is determined by which team holds the best regular season record at the conclusion of the 2026-2027 Pro Football regular season. The #1 seed designation is awarded to a single team based on standard NFL playoff seeding criteria, which prioritizes win-loss record and applicable tiebreakers. This market resolves to Yes for whichever NFC team achieves the #1 seed position.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the aggregate sentiment around which NFL team will secure the top seed in the NFC for the 2026-27 playoffs. The current volume across both platforms is $592,433, with $3,120 traded in the last 24 hours, indicating strong interest in this market. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will the Philadelphia Eagles be the NFC #1 seed for the 2027 NFL Playoffs? at 90.3%, while Kalshi leans toward Will San Francisco be the NFC 1 Seed? at 40.0%. This provides a consensus view derived from multiple prediction markets focused on the 2026-27 NFC #1 seed.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there's significant public interest and trading volume. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers or react more quickly to breaking news, creating a 50.3 difference in implied probabilities.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for this market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which can lead to differing opinions and price discovery. For example, Polymarket might attract more sophisticated traders, while Kalshi could have a broader range of participants. Additionally, differing trading fees and market-making incentives can influence price levels. The volume of trading on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to tighter spreads and more efficient pricing.

This market resolves around Jan 11, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team officially awarded the NFC #1 seed by the NFL at the conclusion of the 2026-27 regular season will determine the outcome. Resolution will be based on official NFL standings and playoff seeding announcements, ensuring a transparent and verifiable result. Traders should monitor official NFL communications for updates leading up to the resolution date.

Numerous factors could significantly impact this market. Key player injuries, coaching changes, and team performance during the 2026-27 NFL season will all influence trader sentiment. Major trades or free agent signings could also shift expectations. Unexpected upsets or dominant performances by certain teams will likely cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, news regarding team health, particularly for key quarterbacks, will be closely watched. Any developments affecting a team's chances of winning their division and securing a top record in the NFC could move this market.