TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Ligue 1: 2027 Champion
polymarket
kalshi
limitless
predict

Who will win Ligue 1?

Total volume:
$7,259,133
Volume 24h:
$16,426
22%
Liquidity:
$2,022,313
17%
Open interest:
$29,666
1%

Paris Saint-Germain

all

4 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Predict

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jun 14, 2027

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?

87%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 87¢ buys you 115 shares | Odds: 87% Total Payout: $115 | Net Profit: $15 Multiplier: 1.15x | ROI: 15% | APY: 25% 230 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Paris Saint-Germain

Trade
87%
Yes 87¢No 14¢
1¢
$92,390
$173,875
1%
4%
N/A
7mo 2w 6d
active
kalshi

PSG

Trade
85%
1%
Yes 87¢No 15¢
2¢
N/A
$14,021
12%
16%
$7,301
7mo 4d
active
predict

Paris Saint-Germain

Trade
83%
Yes 85.1¢No 18.5¢
3.6¢
$88,368
$230,018
2%
3%
N/A
7mo 5d
active
limitless

Paris Saint-Germain

Trade
N/A
N/A
87.7¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
7mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
84.7%
Yes 86.4¢No 15.8¢
Avg: 23.6¢Max: 87.7¢
limitless

Monaco

Trade
50%
Yes 50¢No 50.1¢
99.5¢
N/A
$40
0%
0%
N/A
7mo 5d
active
kalshi

Monaco

Trade
8%
Yes 6¢No 96¢
2¢
N/A
$16,462
3%
10%
$8,593
7mo 4d
active
polymarket

Monaco

Trade
4%
Yes 4.7¢No 97.1¢
1.8¢
$52,455
$65,920
0.25%
12%
N/A
7mo 2w 6d
active
predict

Monaco

Trade
3%
3%
Yes 3.3¢No 98.1¢
1.4¢
$62,371
$195,860
3%
12%
N/A
7mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
3.2%
Yes 16¢No 85.3¢
Avg: 26.2¢Max: 99.5¢
kalshi

Lyon

Trade
2%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$4,879
0%
0%
$2,221
7mo 4d
active
polymarket

Lyon

Trade
1%
Yes 1.5¢No 98.6¢
0.1¢
$63,150
$61,122
0.22%
3%
N/A
7mo 2w 6d
active
predict

Lyon

Trade
1%
Yes 1.4¢No 98.7¢
0.1¢
$61,183
$485,651
0.03%
N/A
N/A
7mo 5d
active
limitless

Lyon

Trade
N/A
N/A
99.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
7mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.4%
Yes 2¢No 98.8¢
Avg: 25.4¢Max: 99.5¢
kalshi

Lille

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 99¢
2¢
N/A
$4,203
0%
0%
$2,145
7mo 4d
active
polymarket

Lille

Trade
2%
Yes 2.7¢No 98.3¢
1¢
$44,454
$47,320
0%
2%
N/A
7mo 2w 6d
active
predict

Lille

Trade
1%
Yes 1.3¢No 99.3¢
0.6¢
$63,493
$535,783
0.01%
0.46%
N/A
7mo 5d
active
limitless

Lille

Trade
N/A
N/A
99.5¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
7mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.1%
Yes 2.3¢No 98.9¢
Avg: 25.8¢Max: 99.5¢
kalshi

Stade Rennes

Trade
5%
7%
Yes 5¢No 99¢
4¢
N/A
$2,316
2%
57%
$2,284
7mo 4d
active
polymarket

Rennes

Trade
1%
Yes 1.3¢No 98.8¢
0.1¢
$53,488
$58,676
0%
3%
N/A
7mo 2w 6d
active
predict

Rennes

Trade
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.4¢
0.5¢
$125,196
$355,194
0.23%
0.24%
N/A
7mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 2.5¢No 99.1¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Paris

Trade
3%
Yes 3¢No 98¢
1¢
N/A
$3,399
0%
13%
$2,864
7mo 4d
active
polymarket

Paris FC

Trade
2%
Yes 2.2¢No 98¢
0.2¢
$66,696
$59,822
0.01%
28%
N/A
7mo 2w 6d
active
predict

Paris FC

Trade
1%
Yes 1.1¢No 99.6¢
0.7¢
$61,076
$600,913
0.01%
0.86%
N/A
7mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.9%
Yes 2.1¢No 98.5¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

Marseille

Trade
1%
Yes 1.8¢No 98.9¢
0.7¢
$43,575
$64,018
0.01%
5%
N/A
7mo 2w 6d
active
kalshi

Marseille

Trade
1%
Yes 2¢No 100¢
2¢
N/A
$1,395
0%
0%
$1,121
7mo 4d
active
predict

Marseille

Trade
1%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.8¢
0.5¢
$34,457
$294,663
0.01%
7%
N/A
7mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.7%
Yes 1.5¢No 99.6¢
Avg: 1.1¢Max: 2¢
Total markets: 25 of 60

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship, France’s top professional football league. Currently, Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, and Predict traders assign an 81.0% probability to Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) winning the league, and an 11.0% probability to Monaco. The resolution source for this market is the Official Ligue 1 standings and announcements. Keep an eye on the final matchday of the season, scheduled for June 15, 2027, to see which team secures the championship title.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the official Ligue 1 champion, with a shared contingency for cancellation/postponement and disqualification.Primary resolution logic: Official Ligue 1 standings and announcements

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the team that finishes first in the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season.
  • If a team is mathematically eliminated from contention, its corresponding market resolves to 'No'.
  • If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled or postponed past June 14, 2027, the market resolves to 'Other'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tiebreakers: In the event of a tie for first place, the official Ligue 1 tiebreaker rules will be used to determine the champion, and the market will resolve accordingly.
  • Disqualifications: If a team is disqualified from the league during the season, its corresponding market will resolve to 'No'.
Timing: The market will resolve after the official conclusion of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season, but no later than June 15, 2027.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

Each market corresponds to one of the eligible teams competing in the 2026-2027 Ligue 1 season. A market resolves to Yes if and only if the corresponding team finishes the 2026-2027 Ligue 1 season as the league champion. The champion is determined by the official Ligue 1 standings at the conclusion of the season, following all regular season matches and the application of any official tiebreaker rules. Exactly one team will be crowned champion, and therefore exactly one market will resolve to Yes while all others resolve to No. Resolution is based on the final official determination by Ligue 1 governing authorities.

Predict

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship per the rules of Ligue 1 (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Ligue 1; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the Ligue 1 championship race from multiple platforms, currently Polymarket and Kalshi. It displays a consensus view of who is favored to win, based on the combined volume of $7,259,133 and 24-hour volume of $30,008. On Polymarket, the current implied probability of the leading outcome is 86.5%, while Kalshi shows 85.0% for its most likely outcome. This allows for a comprehensive understanding of market sentiment regarding the upcoming Ligue 1 season.

Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Typically, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional betting markets, especially when there's significant public interest. However, sportsbooks may offer more favorable odds on certain outcomes, depending on their risk assessment and customer base. The spread between the two can sometimes be as much as 1.5 percentage points.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and liquidity levels. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, differing market makers and trading strategies employed on each platform can influence price discovery. Currently, Polymarket favors Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship? at 86.5%, while Kalshi leans toward Will PSG win the 2026-27 Ligue 1? at 85.0%, demonstrating this dynamic. These differences highlight the value of aggregating data across multiple sources to gain a more complete picture of potential outcomes.

This market resolves around Jun 15, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of the 2027 Ligue 1 season, as officially declared by the Ligue de Football Professionnel (LFP), will determine the outcome. The market will settle to 100% for the winning team and 0% for all other teams. Traders should monitor official LFP announcements for the final standings and confirmation of the champion.

Numerous events could significantly impact this market. Major player transfers, managerial changes, and injuries to key players will all influence predictions. Unexpected team form during the season, particularly strong or weak performances in crucial matches, can also shift probabilities. Any news regarding financial stability or ownership changes within clubs could also be a catalyst. Furthermore, broader footballing events, such as the performance of French clubs in European competitions, might indirectly affect sentiment and trading activity within this market.