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$1,211,057,904

339,560

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Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
polymarket

Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Jul 20, 2026, 9:15 PM EST - Sep 30, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$155,120
Volume 24h:
$1,573
95%
Liquidity:
$88,840
14%
Open interest:
$39,386N/A

September 30

 - Polymarket

September 30 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Sep 30, 2026

Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?

6%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At buys you 1,429 shares | Odds: 6% Total Payout: $1,429 | Net Profit: $1,329 Multiplier: 14.29x | ROI: 1,329% APY not meaningful 34 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

September 30

Trade
6%
Yes No 96¢
$18,873
$1,051
0%
N/A
N/A
1mo 4d
active
polymarket

August 31

0%
Yes 0.3¢No 99.8¢
0.1¢
$69,967
$126,520
1%
35%
N/A
4d 4h 18m
active
polymarket

July 31

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
N/A
$27,548
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.