TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Golfers to win a PGA Tour Major before 2030
kalshi

Golfers to win a PGA Tour Major before 2030

Jun 23, 2026, 11:45 AM EST - Jun 23, 2030, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$1,121
Volume 24h:
$5N/A
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$1,089
0.47%

Jackson Koivun

 - Kalshi

Jackson Koivun - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jun 23, 2030

Will Jackson Koivun win a golf major championship after June 22, 2026 and before 2030?

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: 0.28% 1335 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jackson Koivun

Trade
99%
Yes 99¢No 96¢
95¢
N/A
$26
25%
25%
$26
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Miles Russell

97%
Yes 99¢No 96¢
95¢
N/A
$1
0%
0%
$1
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Sam Burns

97%
Yes 99¢No 94¢
93¢
N/A
$0
0%
0%
$0
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Daniel Berger

94%
Yes 94¢No 98¢
92¢
N/A
$1
0%
0%
$1
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Bud Cauley

60%
Yes 88¢No 98¢
86¢
N/A
$8
0%
0%
$6
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Andrew Novak

60%
Yes 88¢No 98¢
86¢
N/A
$8
0%
0%
$6
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Aldrich Potgieter

60%
Yes 88¢No 98¢
86¢
N/A
$8
0%
0%
$6
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Alex Smalley

60%
Yes 88¢No 98¢
86¢
N/A
$8
0%
0%
$6
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Blades Brown

60%
Yes 88¢No 96¢
84¢
N/A
$8
0%
0%
$6
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Ludvig Aberg

6%
Yes 90¢No 94¢
84¢
N/A
$35
0%
23%
$15
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Ben Griffin

5%
Yes 88¢No 96¢
84¢
N/A
$8
0%
0%
$6
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Karl Vilips

2%
Yes 90¢No 98¢
88¢
N/A
$0
0%
0%
$0
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Akshay Bhatia

N/A
N/A
90¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Michael Brennan

N/A
N/A
91¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Jacob Bridgeman

N/A
N/A
92¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Patrick Cantlay

N/A
N/A
92¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Eric Cole

N/A
N/A
92¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Corey Conners

N/A
N/A
93¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Pierceson Coody

N/A
N/A
92¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Nicolas Echavarria

N/A
N/A
92¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Harris English

N/A
N/A
92¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Tony Finau

N/A
N/A
93¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Tommy Fleetwood

N/A
N/A
97¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Rickie Fowler

N/A
N/A
93¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3y 8mo
active
kalshi

Ryan Gerard

N/A
N/A
90¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
3y 8mo
active
Total markets: 25 of 60

Description

This event tracks whether any of a specified group of professional golfers wins one of golf's four major championships—The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, or The Open Championship—before the end of 2029. A victory in any of these prestigious tournaments by any of the listed golfers triggers a Yes resolution.

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if any of the specified golfers wins a golf major championship before 2030. Golf majors are defined as the four annual major championship tournaments officially designated by the sport's governing bodies: The Masters, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship. Each individual golfer has a corresponding market outcome, and the event resolves affirmatively upon the first major championship victory by any listed competitor before the deadline. A major championship victory is determined by official PGA Tour records and the governing bodies' recognition of these four tournaments as major championships.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the PGA Tour Major winners market tracks the current odds for various golfers to win a major championship before Jun 23, 2030. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, as well as the 24-hour trading volume, which is currently $5. The total volume traded on this market to date is $1,121. The dashboard also highlights the golfer currently favored to win, with 99.0% probability, as determined by traders on the exchange.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when considering long-term events like predicting major championship winners years in advance. However, sportsbook odds may react more quickly to breaking news, while this market’s prices evolve as traders incorporate new information and adjust their positions.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each golfer winning a major championship before Jun 23, 2030. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of each golfer’s chances.

This market resolves around Jun 23, 2030, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which golfers have won a PGA Tour major championship (Masters Tournament, PGA Championship, U.S. Open, and The Open Championship) between now and that date. The outcome will be based on official tournament results and verified against credible public sources. Any golfer who wins one or more of these majors within the specified timeframe will be considered a successful outcome for those contracts.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. A golfer’s performance in upcoming tournaments, especially strong showings in majors, would likely increase their probability. Injuries or significant changes in a golfer’s form could decrease their chances. Major announcements regarding a golfer’s career, such as retirement plans, would also move the market. Unexpected rule changes within the PGA Tour or shifts in the competitive landscape could also influence trader sentiment and, therefore, the prices in this market. Any news impacting a golfer’s ability to compete at a high level is likely to be reflected in the market.