TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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F1 Constructors' Champion
polymarket
kalshi
limitless
opinion

Who will win F1 Constructors'?

Total volume:
$31,451,677
Volume 24h:
$18,548
27%
Liquidity:
$132,515
93%
Open interest:
$1,313,176
0.02%

Mercedes

all

4 markets

Opinion

Polymarket

Kalshi

Limitless

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Mar 31, 2027

Mercedes

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
opinion

Trade on Opinion

At 99.9¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0.1% | APY: 0.92% 39 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
opinion

Mercedes

Trade
100%
Yes 99.9¢No 0.1¢
—
N/A
$10
0%
0%
N/A
1mo 1w 2d
active
polymarket

Mercedes

Trade
99%
Yes 99.7¢No 0.8¢
0.5¢
$92,757
$1,341,721
0.11%
1%
N/A
5mo 5d
active
kalshi

Mercedes AMG Motorsport

Trade
98%
Yes 99¢No 2¢
1¢
N/A
$502,641
0.07%
1%
$235,179
1mo 1w 4d
active
limitless

Mercedes

Trade
50%
Yes 50.1¢No 50¢
99.5¢
N/A
$787
0%
0.08%
N/A
5mo 5d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
99.1%
Yes 87.2¢No 13.2¢
Avg: 33.7¢Max: 99.5¢
limitless

Ferrari

Trade
13%
Yes 12.6¢No 87.5¢
24.7¢
N/A
$529
0%
0%
N/A
5mo 5d
active
kalshi

Ferrari

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
N/A
$667,322
0.14%
1%
$327,164
1mo 1w 4d
active
polymarket

Ferrari

Trade
1%
Yes 0.8¢No 99.7¢
0.5¢
$39,758
$884,047
0.15%
2%
N/A
5mo 5d
active
opinion

Ferrari

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 1w 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1.2%
Yes 5.1¢No 95.4¢
Avg: 8.7¢Max: 24.7¢
limitless

Aston Martin

Trade
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
99.6¢
N/A
$2,699
0%
N/A
N/A
5mo 5d
active
kalshi

Aston Martin

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$60,912
0%
0%
$51,727
1mo 1w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 25.5¢No 75¢
Avg: 50.3¢Max: 99.6¢
limitless

Audi

Trade
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
99.6¢
N/A
$182
0%
N/A
N/A
5mo 5d
active
kalshi

Audi

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$34,651
0%
0%
$34,051
1mo 1w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 25.5¢No 75¢
Avg: 50.3¢Max: 99.6¢
limitless

Williams

Trade
50%
Yes 50¢No 50¢
99.6¢
N/A
$182
0%
N/A
N/A
5mo 5d
active
kalshi

Williams

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$23,680
0%
0.14%
$23,678
1mo 1w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 25.5¢No 75¢
Avg: 50.3¢Max: 99.6¢
kalshi

Cadillac

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$156,479
0%
0%
$138,878
1mo 1w 4d
active
kalshi

Alpine

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$54,637
0%
0%
$44,376
1mo 1w 4d
active
opinion

Alpine

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 1w 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Haas

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$10,455
0%
0%
$10,455
1mo 1w 4d
active
kalshi

Racing Bulls

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$9,965
0%
5%
$9,965
1mo 1w 4d
active
limitless

Red Bull Racing

Trade
50%
Yes 50¢No 50.1¢
99.7¢
N/A
$2,386
0%
8%
N/A
5mo 5d
active
kalshi

Red Bull Racing

Trade
2%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$345,632
0%
3%
$244,299
1mo 1w 4d
active
opinion

Red Bull Racing

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1mo 1w 2d
active
polymarket

Red Bull Racing

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,138,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
5mo 5d
No
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.5%
Yes 17¢No 83.4¢
Avg: 50.3¢Max: 99.7¢
limitless

McLaren

Trade
10%
Yes 10.1¢No 89.9¢
19.8¢
N/A
$366
0%
0%
N/A
5mo 5d
active
kalshi

McLaren

Trade
1%
Yes 1¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$342,287
0%
0.14%
$193,404
1mo 1w 4d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.2%
Yes 5.6¢No 95¢
Avg: 10.4¢Max: 19.8¢
Total markets: 25 of 41

Intro

This market tracks which team will win the 2026 Formula 1 Constructors’ Championship, awarded to the team with the most points accumulated throughout the season. Currently, Mercedes is predicted to win with a 99.9% probability, based on an aggregation of Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, and Opinion. Resolution will be determined by Official Formula 1 results (e.g., Formula1.com). Keep an eye on the final race of the 2026 season, scheduled for late November, as the outcome will directly impact championship standings and market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the official F1 Constructors’ Championship results, including tiebreak procedures and a cancellation deadline.Primary resolution logic: Official Formula 1 results (e.g., Formula1.com)

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves to the team that wins the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship.
  • Resolution occurs upon the completion of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season.
  • In the event of a tie, the official F1 tiebreak procedure will be used.
  • If the 2026 F1 season is permanently canceled or incomplete by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to 'Other'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Cancellation: If the 2026 F1 season is permanently canceled or not completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 'Other'.
  • Tiebreak: In the event of a tie in points between two or more teams, the official F1 tiebreak procedure will determine the winner.
Timing: Upon the completion of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season and the official publication of the Constructors’ Championship standings.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.

Kalshi

The 2026 F1 Constructors Championship resolves based on which team accumulates the most championship points throughout the season. Each eligible constructor—including established powerhouses and new entrants—can win the championship by achieving the highest combined point total from both drivers across all races. The resolution is determined by the official FIA championship standings at the conclusion of the 2026 season.

Limitless

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.

Opinion

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different teams winning the F1 Constructors' Championship. It aggregates data from both platforms to provide a consensus view of the market. Currently, the combined volume across both venues is $31,451,677, with $10,739 traded in the last 24 hours. The current market consensus, as reflected by the combined probabilities, suggests Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? is the frontrunner. This allows traders to see how opinions are shifting and compare the collective wisdom of the crowd regarding the F1 Constructors' Championship.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate probability, especially as more information becomes available. The spread between prediction market and sportsbook odds can sometimes reach 1.5 percentage points, depending on the event and the information available.

This market resolves around Apr 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the F1 Constructors' Championship will be determined by the official results published by the Fédération Internationale de l'Automobile (FIA). The market will settle based on which team accumulates the most points throughout the 2026 Formula One season, as officially declared by the FIA. Traders should monitor official sources for the final standings to understand how this market will be settled.

Numerous signals could significantly impact this market before Apr 1, 2027. Major events include team performance during pre-season testing and throughout the 2026 Formula One season, driver changes, and significant technological advancements. Unexpected retirements or injuries to key drivers could also shift the odds. Regulatory changes introduced by the FIA, such as adjustments to aerodynamic rules, could favor certain teams over others. Any news regarding engine development or team sponsorships could also influence trader sentiment and move the market for the F1 Constructors' Championship.