TOTAL VOLUME:

$150.1b

24H VOL:

$142,857,652

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,859,322,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,733,278,615

483,990

Markets across

35,811

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

3,349

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
College Football Playoff Qualifiers
kalshi

College Football Playoff Qualifiers

Jan 21, 2026, 5:15 PM EST - Dec 15, 2026, 10:00 AM EST
Total volume:
$3,240,007
Volume 24h:
$35,090
10%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$2,201,430
0.72%

Miami (FL)

 - Kalshi

Miami (FL) - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Dec 15, 2026

Will Miami (FL) qualify for the College Football Playoffs?

93%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 94¢ buys you 106 shares | Odds: 93% Total Payout: $106 | Net Profit: $6 Multiplier: 1.06x | ROI: 6% | APY: 59% 49 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Miami (FL)

Trade
93%
Yes 94¢No 7¢
1¢
N/A
$29,696
2%
13%
$20,519
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Georgia

Trade
88%
4%
Yes 88¢No 14¢
2¢
N/A
$28,859
0.84%
2%
$18,467
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Indiana

Trade
88%
Yes 88¢No 14¢
2¢
N/A
$45,648
0.12%
6%
$26,806
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Notre Dame

Trade
81%
Yes 81¢No 20¢
1¢
N/A
$85,230
0.24%
44%
$54,835
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Ohio St.

Trade
80%
1%
Yes 81¢No 20¢
1¢
N/A
$91,414
1%
56%
$51,628
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Alabama

Trade
67%
1%
Yes 67¢No 34¢
1¢
N/A
$82,694
0.66%
8%
$35,197
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

UCLA

Trade
56%
2%
Yes 56¢No 46¢
2¢
N/A
$78,193
7%
85%
$48,737
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Utah

Trade
56%
5%
Yes 55¢No 48¢
3¢
N/A
$76,685
1%
8%
$47,495
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

LSU

Trade
55%
3%
Yes 55¢No 46¢
1¢
N/A
$968,892
0.11%
0.94%
$892,410
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Boise St.

Trade
54%
23%
Yes 53¢No 54¢
7¢
N/A
$210
617%
N/A
$200
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Texas

Trade
53%
Yes 53¢No 48¢
1¢
N/A
$101,165
0.62%
7%
$55,337
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Ole Miss

Trade
44%
Yes 44¢No 58¢
2¢
N/A
$86,260
0.55%
13%
$42,335
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

BYU

Trade
38%
3%
Yes 42¢No 61¢
3¢
N/A
$44,823
3%
13%
$29,485
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Kentucky

Trade
36%
1%
Yes 36¢No 66¢
2¢
N/A
$21,046
6%
28%
$16,293
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

New Mexico

Trade
28%
1%
Yes 28¢No 75¢
3¢
N/A
$2,885
23%
851%
$1,726
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Florida

Trade
26%
1%
Yes 28¢No 74¢
2¢
N/A
$62,331
3%
7%
$34,856
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Tennessee

Trade
25%
Yes 24¢No 79¢
3¢
N/A
$16,529
3%
16%
$7,135
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Texas Tech

Trade
22%
4%
Yes 23¢No 78¢
1¢
N/A
$62,335
0.75%
14%
$27,378
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

SMU

Trade
19%
Yes 18¢No 87¢
5¢
N/A
$28,551
0%
2%
$17,734
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Arizona

Trade
19%
Yes 19¢No 85¢
4¢
N/A
$17,148
0.64%
3%
$10,875
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Oklahoma St.

Trade
17%
12%
Yes 17¢No 84¢
1¢
N/A
$74,155
3%
11%
$42,618
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Oregon St.

Trade
16%
1%
Yes 15¢No 87¢
2¢
N/A
$30,960
4%
145%
$26,255
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Northwestern

Trade
16%
24%
Yes 16¢No 85¢
1¢
N/A
$4,159
167%
N/A
$2,886
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Wisconsin

Trade
14%
1%
Yes 14¢No 87¢
1¢
N/A
$10,086
286%
930%
$8,500
1mo 2w 5d
active
kalshi

Houston

Trade
11%
2%
Yes 9¢No 92¢
1¢
N/A
$20,640
1%
21%
$14,304
1mo 2w 5d
active
Total markets: 25 of 59

Description

A college football team will qualify for the College Football Playoffs.

Kalshi

If Ohio St. is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Notre Dame is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Indiana is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oregon is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Georgia is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If LSU is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas Tech is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas A&M is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami (FL) is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alabama is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If USC is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ole Miss is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michigan is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tennessee is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Utah is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Penn St. is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auburn is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Missouri is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If BYU is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Washington is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Iowa is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virginia is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Clemson is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Vanderbilt is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If SMU is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louisville is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Florida St. is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If South Carolina is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arkansas is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Georgia Tech is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pittsburgh is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kansas St. is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baylor is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kentucky is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If California is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Illinois is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If TCU is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virginia Tech is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Arizona St. is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma St. is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Houston is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If North Carolina St. is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If North Texas is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tulane is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If James Madison is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes. If Miami (OH) is one of the teams to qualify for the College Football Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than initial sportsbook lines or even expert predictions. While sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit, this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. This can lead to a more nuanced assessment of each team’s chances, especially as new information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds can still offer a useful benchmark for comparison, and differences may arise due to varying levels of information or risk appetite.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in whether a team will qualify for the College Football Playoff. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability of that outcome. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome, allowing traders to express and profit from their informed opinions about the playoff field.

This market resolves around Dec 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the College Football Playoff field is officially announced and verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect which teams are selected by the College Football Playoff committee to participate in the playoff. The final selection will be used to determine which contracts settle at $1.00 and which settle at $0.00, based on whether the corresponding team qualified.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major upsets during the regular season, key player injuries, and changes in team performance are all likely to shift the odds. Conference championship game results will be particularly influential, as they directly determine which teams are in contention for an at-large bid. Additionally, any news regarding potential rule changes or committee preferences could also move the market. Monitoring these events and their potential impact on team rankings is crucial for understanding how this market might evolve.